Introduction
By 2024, the semiconductor foundry market will be in the midst of a major transformation driven by macroeconomic factors. Artificial intelligence, 5G, and the Internet of Things are reshaping the demand for semiconductor manufacturing. Regulations aimed at ensuring the security of supply chains and promoting local manufacturing are affecting foundry strategic decisions. Furthermore, a change in consumers’ habits, with their growing reliance on smart devices and sustainable technology, is compelling all market players to adapt their offerings. These trends are crucial to the industry, which must navigate complex and unpredictable terrain.
Top Trends
- Increased Investment in Advanced Nodes
The advanced process node is the main investment of the leading foundry. In 2023, TSMC will invest more than 30 billion yuan in three-nanometer and two-nanometer processes. The demand for high-performance computing and artificial intelligence is driving the change. Hence, the R & D capability of the industry has improved, resulting in faster innovation cycles. The next node will be even smaller, and the limits of the industry will be further pushed.
- Sustainability Initiatives
In the midst of the increasing emphasis on the question of the environment, the industry is attempting to become carbon-neutral by the year 2030. For example, by 2030, Samsung aims to have reduced its carbon footprint by 50 per cent. This has had a major impact on the manufacturing process, with an increase in the number of companies investing in energy-efficient manufacturing. The future of the industry is likely to see an even greater emphasis on the environment and a greater emphasis on the use of a circular economy.
- Geopolitical Influences on Supply Chains
Geopolitical tensions, especially between the United States and China, are reshaping the supply chain for chips. The American government has imposed export restrictions on SMIC, which has forced a rethink of sourcing strategies. The result is that the global supply chain is becoming more fragmented. In the United States, the Chips Act is encouraging the development of domestic industry.
- Rise of Specialty Foundries
The foundries specialized in a few applications have been increasing in importance in the last few years. The analog and rf technology of Tower-Jazz is an example of this. This is the result of the increasing need for specialized solutions in the automobile and in the Internet of Things. These foundries are increasing their capabilities, which will probably lead to more collaborations and alliances in the future.
- Integration of AI in Manufacturing
Artificial intelligence has been used to improve the yield and efficiency of the chip manufacturing process. The likes of UMC use it to predict equipment failures and ensure the quality of the chips. Using it in this way is expected to reduce costs and improve the time taken to produce the chips. Artificial intelligence is likely to be used more and more in the future to help the companies to optimize their production processes.
- Focus on 5G and Beyond
The introduction of 5G technology is driving the demand for advanced semiconductor solutions, which are now being manufactured in greater numbers. For example, STMicroelectronics is expanding its 5G product range to meet market demand. This trend is influencing the company’s operational strategy and resulting in closer collaboration with telecommunications companies. It will also have a bearing on the development of 6G technology.
- Shortage of Skilled Workforce
The IC industry is faced with a shortage of skilled workers, which is affecting its ability to produce. According to statistics, more than half of the companies are cited as saying that the shortage of skilled workers is their greatest challenge. This trend has prompted the industry to increase its investment in apprenticeships and ties to educational institutions. Future developments may see a further increase in automation to offset the shortage of skilled workers.
- Emergence of Quantum Computing
The quantum computing industry has begun to form a new frontier in the field of integrated circuits. Among the companies that are doing research on this are IBM and Google. Foundries have also begun to develop new manufacturing processes for quantum chips. It is expected that this will create new markets and drive innovation. In the future, there may be more cooperation between the big semiconductor companies and the new quantum companies.
- Expansion of Global Manufacturing Footprint
In order to protect themselves from risks and to meet the needs of the different markets, foundries are extending their production sites. For example, TSMC is building a new plant in the U.S. to meet the needs of the local market. This development is reshaping the foundry’s business strategy and intensifying competition. The future may see a more diverse production landscape.
- Collaboration and Mergers in the Industry
In the foundry market, the trend towards cooperation and mergers is increasing. Recent examples are the Fujitsu-STMicroelectronics alliance and the TSMC-SMIC partnership. The goal is to combine complementary technological expertise. This trend is expected to boost innovation and help foundries to better position themselves in the market. In the future, strategic alliances and joint ventures are likely to become more common.
Conclusion: Navigating the Semiconductor Foundry Landscape
The foundry market in 2024 will be characterized by a high degree of competition and significant fragmentation, with the major players being a mixture of the old and the new. In terms of geography, the trend is towards Asia-Pacific as a manufacturing center, while North America and Europe will focus on innovation and sustainable development. The suppliers must position themselves strategically in terms of acquiring new capabilities, such as AI, automation and flexibility, in order to meet the changing requirements of their customers. The companies that put a high priority on sustainable practices will be able to win market share. The ability to adapt and integrate these capabilities will ultimately determine who wins in this rapidly changing environment.