Introduction
The Full-service carrier market is facing a major transformation by a combination of macro-factors. Artificial intelligence and big data are changing the way the carrier manages its operations and its customer engagement strategy. Meanwhile, the pressures of regulation, aimed at ensuring the environment and safety, are forcing carriers to adapt and innovate. In addition, the evolving travel behavior of customers, with a growing demand for a personalised experience and an increasing concern for the environment, is affecting the service offerings and operating models. These are the macro-factors that the carriers must understand to guide their strategy in a complex environment where agility and vision are required to remain competitive.
Top Trends
- Sustainability Initiatives
Full-service carriers are progressively introducing a sustainable policy, with Delta for example pledging to have zero net emissions by 2050. Governments are encouraging this, as in the European Green Deal. In 2023, 60 per cent of travellers prefer eco-friendly carriers, which is having an effect on their operational strategies. This trend is driving innovation in fuel-saving and alternative energy, thereby reshaping industry standards.
- Digital Transformation
The integration of advanced technologies is revolutionizing the customer experience in the full-service carrier market. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are being used to personalize services, and 75% of full-service carriers have reported improved customer satisfaction as a result. A shift towards mobile check-ins and digital boarding passes is also improving efficiency. Further developments could see the introduction of advanced biometric systems, which could further reduce waiting times and operating costs.
- Health and Safety Protocols
Post-pandemic, the hygiene and safety of the planes is being increased by means of improved cleaning and air filtration systems. The Emirates company, for example, has launched a comprehensive health and safety programme, which has led to a 40 per cent increase in confidence among its customers. Authorities are also introducing stricter guidelines. In the long term, this trend is likely to affect both the cost of operation and the expectations of customers.
- Fleet Modernization
In order to reduce costs and increase efficiency, the aviation industry is focusing on fleet modernization. For example, United Airlines has ordered new Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, which have a 14% higher fuel efficiency. This trend is driven by rising fuel prices and stricter emissions regulations. Competition between the carriers to maintain modern fleets will have a major impact on their strategies for fares.
- Enhanced Customer Loyalty Programs
Full-service carriers are reworking their loyalty programs in order to keep customers. British Airways has introduced a new tiered system of benefits based on the frequency of travel. The loyalty programs are paying off. A recent study showed that more than two-thirds of frequent flyers prefer an airline with a good loyalty program. This is reshaping marketing strategies and the way customers are engaged. To further expand the benefits, some carriers are thinking of forming alliances with non-airline companies.
- Global Route Expansion
China Southern is expanding its international route to tap the emerging market. The market is developing, and the number of passengers is increasing. In 2023, the number of passengers increased by 25%. Competition is expected to intensify, and the route is becoming more complex.
- Increased Focus on Ancillary Revenue
Full-service carriers are diversifying their revenue streams with ancillary services. In 2023, ancillary revenues at full-service carriers like Lufthansa were up by a third. These include extra baggage, seat reservations, and in-flight services. This trend is reshaping both the pricing models and the expectations of the travelling public. To increase profits in the future, carriers may well turn to more services, and to more and more specialised groups.
- Personalization of Travel Experience
A good example of the trend toward using big data is the way All Nippon Airways uses customer data to tailor its services. Travelers prefer a tailored service, according to a survey conducted by the company. This trend is expected to encourage further investment in technology and in customer service training, further strengthening brand loyalty.
- Regulatory Compliance and Adaptation
Full-service carriers are adjusting to a regulatory environment which is changing, especially in the areas of emissions and passenger rights. In the case of the latter, the European Union’s regulations on compensation have prompted carriers to strengthen their compliance systems. This is increasing their operating costs and forcing them to adapt their strategies. Future developments may well include a stronger lobbying effort to secure more favorable regulations.
- Emergence of Hybrid Business Models
Hybrid business models have begun to reshape the full-service carrier landscape. In this new world, hybrid carriers like Turkish Airlines offer both low-cost and premium services. This approach attracts a wide range of passengers. Indeed, more than half of travelers (55%) prefer flexible fares. This trend has implications for both competitive strategies and market positioning, and there is scope for further innovation in service offerings.
Conclusion: Navigating the Competitive Landscape Ahead
Looking ahead to 2024, the full-service carrier market will be highly competitive and fragmented, with both the old and the new players fighting for market share. The shifting regional preferences are forcing carriers to adjust their strategies to meet the diverse needs of their customers. The established carriers are relying on their well-established networks and their enduring brand loyalty. The new entrants are focusing on new service offerings and customer-centricity. In the future, carriers that can take advantage of the latest technological developments, such as artificial intelligence for improved efficiency, automation for improved process efficiencies, sustainability for reduced emissions, and flexibility to respond to changing market conditions, will be the winners in this evolving landscape. Carriers must align their strategic investments and operational frameworks to not only survive but also thrive in this complex market.