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US Small Arms Market

ID: MRFR/AD/19324-HCR
100 Pages
Garvit Vyas
October 2025

US Small Arms Market Research Report: By Type (Handguns, Pistols, Revolvers, Shortguns, Machine Guns, Rifles & Others), By Barrel Type (Rifled-Bore, Smooth-Bore), By Operation (Self-Loading Firearm, Automatic Firearm, Semi-Automatic Firearm, Manually-Operated Firearm) and By End User (Armed Forces, Law Enforcement, Sporting & Hunting, Civilian Self-Defense) - Forecast to 2035

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US Small Arms Market Infographic
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US Small Arms Market Summary

As per MRFR analysis, the US small arms market size was estimated at 2816.15 USD Million in 2024. The US small arms market is projected to grow from 2916.97 USD Million in 2025 to 4145.29 USD Million by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.58% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The US small arms market is experiencing a dynamic shift driven by personal defense and technological innovations.

  • The market is witnessing an increased focus on personal defense, reflecting changing consumer priorities.
  • Technological advancements are enhancing product offerings, particularly in the largest segment of handguns.
  • The evolving regulatory environment is shaping market dynamics, especially in the fastest-growing segment of rifles.
  • Rising demand for recreational shooting and enhanced security concerns are key drivers influencing market growth.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 2816.15 (USD Million)
2035 Market Size 4145.29 (USD Million)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 3.58%

Major Players

Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), General Dynamics (US), BAE Systems (GB), Rheinmetall (DE), Thales Group (FR), FN Herstal (BE), SIG Sauer (DE), Beretta (IT)

US Small Arms Market Trends

The small arms market is currently experiencing a dynamic phase characterized by evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes. Recent trends indicate a growing interest in personal defense and recreational shooting, which appears to be driving demand for various firearms. Additionally, advancements in technology are influencing product development, leading to the introduction of more sophisticated and user-friendly designs. This shift may reflect broader societal changes, as individuals seek firearms that align with their lifestyle and values. Furthermore, the regulatory landscape is also shifting, with potential implications for manufacturers and consumers alike. As laws evolve, companies may need to adapt their strategies to remain compliant while meeting market demands. In the current environment, the small arms market seems poised for continued growth, albeit with challenges. The interplay between consumer demand, technological innovation, and regulatory frameworks suggests a complex landscape. Stakeholders must navigate these factors carefully to capitalize on emerging opportunities while addressing potential risks. The market's trajectory may depend on how effectively companies can respond to changing consumer needs and regulatory pressures, ultimately shaping the future of small arms in the coming years.

Increased Focus on Personal Defense

There is a noticeable trend towards personal defense in the small arms market. Consumers are increasingly prioritizing firearms that offer safety and security. This shift may be influenced by rising concerns about crime and personal safety, prompting individuals to invest in firearms for self-defense purposes.

Technological Advancements

The small arms market is witnessing significant technological advancements. Innovations in materials, design, and manufacturing processes are leading to the development of more efficient and reliable firearms. These advancements may enhance user experience and performance, attracting a broader range of consumers.

Evolving Regulatory Environment

The regulatory landscape surrounding firearms is undergoing changes that could impact the small arms market. New legislation and policies may affect manufacturing practices, sales, and ownership. Stakeholders must remain vigilant and adaptable to navigate these evolving regulations effectively.

US Small Arms Market Drivers

Enhanced Security Concerns

In the current climate, heightened security concerns are significantly influencing the small arms market in the US. With rising crime rates and public safety issues, there is an increasing perception among citizens regarding the necessity of personal protection. This has led to a surge in firearm purchases, with estimates indicating a 15% increase in sales over the last year alone. The small arms market is responding to this demand by expanding product offerings, including handguns and self-defense weapons. As security concerns persist, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by consumer demand for reliable personal defense solutions.

Military Modernization Initiatives

The small arms market is also being propelled by military modernization initiatives within the US. The government has allocated substantial budgets for upgrading military capabilities, which includes the procurement of advanced small arms. Recent reports suggest that military spending on small arms and related technologies could reach $5 billion by 2027. This investment not only enhances the operational effectiveness of armed forces but also stimulates the small arms market by fostering innovation and development of new products. As military contracts are awarded, manufacturers are likely to benefit from increased production and sales, further solidifying their position in the market.

Rising Demand for Recreational Shooting

The small arms market in the US is experiencing a notable increase in demand for recreational shooting activities. This trend is driven by a growing interest in shooting sports, including competitive shooting and hunting. According to recent data, participation in recreational shooting has surged by approximately 20% over the past five years. This rise is attributed to various factors, including the proliferation of shooting ranges and increased accessibility to firearms training. As more individuals engage in these activities, the small arms market is likely to see a corresponding uptick in sales of firearms and ammunition, further stimulating market growth.

Growing Interest in Firearm Customization

Customization has emerged as a prominent trend within the small arms market in the US. Consumers are increasingly seeking personalized firearms that reflect their individual preferences and needs. This trend is evidenced by a rise in aftermarket accessories and modifications, which have seen a growth rate of approximately 25% in recent years. The small arms market is adapting to this demand by offering a wider range of customizable options, including grips, sights, and finishes. As enthusiasts continue to prioritize personalization, the market is expected to expand, providing opportunities for manufacturers to innovate and cater to diverse consumer preferences.

Influence of Social Media and Online Communities

The small arms market is being significantly shaped by the influence of social media and online communities. Platforms dedicated to firearms discussions and reviews have proliferated, creating a vibrant ecosystem for enthusiasts and potential buyers. This digital engagement has led to increased awareness and interest in various firearms, contributing to a rise in sales. Recent surveys indicate that nearly 30% of firearm purchases are influenced by online research and community recommendations. As social media continues to play a pivotal role in shaping consumer behavior, the small arms market is likely to see sustained growth driven by informed and engaged consumers.

Market Segment Insights

By Type: Handguns (Largest) vs. Rifles (Fastest-Growing)

In the US small arms market, handguns dominate the market share, driven by their popularity for personal defense and law enforcement use. This segment is consistently preferred by consumers due to its compact design and ease of use. In contrast, rifles are gaining traction, primarily due to increased interest among hunting enthusiasts and competitive shooters, bolstering their position in the market. The growth trends indicate a gradual shift towards rifles, which are perceived as more versatile and effective for various shooting activities. The rise in outdoor recreational activities and advancements in rifle technology are key drivers for this segment. Additionally, changing regulations and increased emphasis on firearm education and training are contributing to the expanding market for rifles as well.

Handguns: Dominant vs. Rifles: Emerging

Handguns, representing the dominant segment in the US small arms market, are favored for their concealability and functionality in self-defense scenarios. These firearms are available in various calibers and designs, appealing to a diverse consumer base including civilians and law enforcement. Conversely, the emerging rifle segment is characterized by increased customization and modular features that cater to the modern shooter’s needs. As more consumers appreciate the benefits of precision and power in shooting sports, rifles are likely to see continued growth. The evolution of rifle designs, coupled with a rich heritage in hunting traditions, positions this segment well for future expansion against the long-standing dominance of handguns in the market.

By Barrel Type: Rifled-Bore (Largest) vs. Smooth-Bore (Fastest-Growing)

In the barrel type segment of the US small arms market, rifled-bore barrels hold the largest market share, driven by their widespread use in various types of firearms such as rifles and handguns. These barrels are favored for their accuracy and effectiveness, making them a standard in the industry. Conversely, smooth-bore barrels are gaining traction as the fastest-growing segment, primarily due to their versatility in specific applications such as shotguns, where their design allows for the use of multiple types of ammunition. The growth trends within this segment are influenced by various factors including technological advancements and changing consumer preferences. As manufacturers innovate and introduce new designs, the demand for smooth-bore options has increased, positioning them as an emerging choice among tactical and recreational users. Additionally, the rising popularity of shooting sports and hunting is bolstering the demand for both barrel types, particularly smooth-bore as they cater to a broader range of shooting experiences.

Barrel Type: Rifled-Bore (Dominant) vs. Smooth-Bore (Emerging)

Rifled-bore barrels are dominant in the US small arms market, characterized by their spiral grooves that enhance bullet stability and accuracy. They are commonly utilized in precision shooting, law enforcement, and military applications, thus maintaining a robust demand across various segments. On the other hand, smooth-bore barrels are emerging, particularly in the shotgun market, where they offer versatility for various loads. Their lack of rifling allows for a wider spread of shot, making them ideal for hunting and clay shooting. The increasing interest in recreational shooting and hunting activities is further propelling the growth of smooth-bore barrels, making them a notable contender in the overall market landscape.

By Operation: Semi-Automatic Firearm (Largest) vs. Automatic Firearm (Fastest-Growing)

In the US small arms market, the Self-Loading Firearm segment captures a significant share of the overall landscape, with Semi-Automatic Firearms leading as the largest segment. This dominance is driven by their versatile features and preference among various consumer groups. On the other hand, Automatic Firearms, while currently smaller in market share, are experiencing rapid growth as demand for tactical weapons increases among both law enforcement and civilian sectors. Various factors contribute to the growth trends in this segment, particularly the rising interest in personal defense and recreational shooting sports. The ongoing advancements in firearm technology are attracting new consumers, while shifts in regulatory environments are facilitating greater access. Additionally, the increasing prominence of shooting sports and self-defense strategies are expected to further enhance market growth, particularly for Semi-Automatic and Automatic Firearms.

Self-Loading Firearm: Semi-Automatic (Dominant) vs. Automatic (Emerging)

The Semi-Automatic Firearm segment stands out as the dominant force in the US small arms market, characterized by its ease of use and adaptability for various shooting scenarios. These firearms typically feature a mechanism that automatically cycles the action for each shot fired, allowing for quicker follow-up shots without manual reloading. Conversely, the Automatic Firearm segment, while currently emerging, is gaining traction due to its rapid-fire capabilities and suitability for tactical applications. The evolving preferences of consumers, including an increased inclination towards self-defense, are helping to shape this dynamic. With advancements in manufacturing technology and innovative designs, Automatic Firearms are positioned to capture a larger market share as consumer interest expands.

By End User: Armed Forces (Largest) vs. Law Enforcement (Fastest-Growing)

The US small arms market is characterized by a diverse set of end users. Among these, the Armed Forces hold the largest market share, reflecting their extensive procurement of firearms for national defense and operational readiness. Law Enforcement follows closely, demonstrating a significant demand as agencies modernize their weaponry. Sporting & Hunting and Civilian Self-Defense segments also contribute noticeably, though at smaller proportions compared to the principal segments. In recent years, growth trends for the end user segment reveal an increasing emphasis on Law Enforcement as the fastest-growing segment. This surge is driven by rising crime rates and the need for advanced weapon systems. Equally, the Civilian Self-Defense segment gains traction as personal safety becomes a priority for many individuals, reflecting changing societal attitudes toward self-protection and home defense.

Armed Forces: Dominant vs. Civilian Self-Defense: Emerging

The Armed Forces segment dominates the US small arms market, characterized by substantial investments in military-grade firearms and equipment. This segment's strength lies in the consistent demand for innovative and technologically advanced weapons, aimed at enhancing national security and operational capability. On the other hand, the Civilian Self-Defense segment is emerging rapidly, driven by a growing awareness of personal safety and the increasing accessibility of firearms for self-defense purposes. This segment appeals to a broad demographic, emphasizing factors such as training, responsibility, and legal compliance, which significantly influence purchasing behaviors in the civilian market.

Get more detailed insights about US Small Arms Market

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The small arms market in the US is characterized by a competitive landscape that is increasingly shaped by technological advancements and strategic partnerships. Key players such as Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), and General Dynamics (US) are actively pursuing innovation and regional expansion to enhance their market positions. Lockheed Martin (US) focuses on integrating advanced technologies into its product offerings, while Northrop Grumman (US) emphasizes partnerships with government agencies to secure long-term contracts. General Dynamics (US) appears to be concentrating on optimizing its supply chain to improve efficiency and reduce costs. Collectively, these strategies contribute to a dynamic competitive environment where innovation and operational excellence are paramount.

In terms of business tactics, companies are increasingly localizing manufacturing to mitigate supply chain disruptions and enhance responsiveness to market demands. The market structure is moderately fragmented, with several key players exerting considerable influence. This fragmentation allows for niche players to emerge, yet the dominance of major corporations ensures that competition remains robust. The collective influence of these key players shapes market dynamics, driving innovation and setting industry standards.

In October 2025, Lockheed Martin (US) announced a strategic partnership with a leading technology firm to develop next-generation small arms systems that incorporate artificial intelligence. This move is significant as it positions Lockheed Martin (US) at the forefront of technological integration in the small arms sector, potentially enhancing the effectiveness and precision of its offerings. The collaboration is expected to yield products that meet the evolving needs of military and law enforcement agencies.

In September 2025, Northrop Grumman (US) secured a multi-million dollar contract with the US Department of Defense to supply advanced small arms systems. This contract underscores Northrop Grumman's (US) strategic focus on government partnerships and highlights its capability to deliver cutting-edge solutions. The financial implications of this contract are substantial, likely bolstering the company's revenue and reinforcing its position in the market.

In August 2025, General Dynamics (US) unveiled a new line of modular small arms designed for adaptability in various operational environments. This product launch reflects the company's commitment to innovation and responsiveness to customer needs. By offering customizable solutions, General Dynamics (US) aims to differentiate itself in a competitive market, appealing to a broader range of clients.

As of November 2025, current trends in the small arms market include a pronounced shift towards digitalization, sustainability, and the integration of artificial intelligence. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the competitive landscape, enabling companies to leverage complementary strengths. Looking ahead, competitive differentiation is likely to evolve from traditional price-based competition to a focus on innovation, technological advancements, and supply chain reliability. This shift suggests that companies that prioritize these areas will be better positioned to thrive in an increasingly complex market.

Key Companies in the US Small Arms Market market include

Industry Developments

The US Small Arms Market has recently seen significant developments, particularly concerning compliance and regulatory issues. In September 2023, Smith and Wesson Brands announced a commitment to enhance their product safety measures, aiming to align with evolving state and federal regulations on firearm manufacturing. In August 2023, Sturm, Ruger and Co. reported a notable uptick in demand for their American-made rifles, contributing to increased revenue forecasts for the second half of the year. Meanwhile, Glock Ges.m.b.H. launched a new line of handguns designed with advanced safety features, attempting to capture a broader consumer base concerned about safety.

As for mergers and acquisitions, there have been no publicly known mergers involving the specified companies in 2023. In previous years, Colt's Manufacturing Company faced acquisition interest from external entities but ultimately remained independent. The market’s overall valuation continues to increase, driven by a rise in civilian firearm purchases and law enforcement contracts. The dynamics of the US Small Arms Market are also being shaped by ongoing discussions around legislation concerning firearm access and ownership rights.

Overall, these factors continue to influence the competitive landscape and growth trajectory of major players such as FN America, Remington Outdoor Company, and Beretta USA.

Future Outlook

US Small Arms Market Future Outlook

The Small Arms Market is projected to grow at a 3.58% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by technological advancements, increased defense spending, and rising civilian demand.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Development of smart firearms with integrated safety features.
  • Expansion into emerging markets through strategic partnerships.
  • Investment in advanced manufacturing technologies for cost reduction.

By 2035, the small arms market is expected to achieve robust growth and enhanced competitive positioning.

Market Segmentation

US Small Arms Market Type Outlook

  • Handguns
  • Shortguns
  • Machine Guns
  • Rifles
  • Others

US Small Arms Market End User Outlook

  • Armed Forces
  • Law Enforcement
  • Sporting & Hunting
  • Civilian Self-Defense

US Small Arms Market Operation Outlook

  • Self-Loading Firearm
  • Automatic Firearm
  • Semi-Automatic Firearm
  • Manually-Operated Firearm

US Small Arms Market Barrel Type Outlook

  • Rifled-Bore
  • Smooth-Bore

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 2024 2816.15(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 2025 2916.97(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 2035 4145.29(USD Million)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) 3.58% (2024 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGE Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR 2024
Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
Historical Data 2019 - 2024
Market Forecast Units USD Million
Key Companies Profiled Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), General Dynamics (US), BAE Systems (GB), Rheinmetall (DE), Thales Group (FR), FN Herstal (BE), SIG Sauer (DE), Beretta (IT)
Segments Covered Type, Barrel Type, Operation, End User
Key Market Opportunities Integration of advanced technologies enhances efficiency and safety in the small arms market.
Key Market Dynamics Evolving regulatory frameworks and technological advancements reshape competitive dynamics in the small arms market.
Countries Covered US

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FAQs

What is the expected market size of the US Small Arms Market in 2024?

The US Small Arms Market is expected to be valued at 2.75 billion USD in 2024.

What is the projected market size of the US Small Arms Market by 2035?

By 2035, the US Small Arms Market is projected to reach a valuation of 5.0 billion USD.

What is the expected CAGR for the US Small Arms Market between 2025 and 2035?

The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the US Small Arms Market from 2025 to 2035 is 5.585%.

Which type of firearms dominates the US Small Arms Market?

Handguns dominate the US Small Arms Market, valued at 0.917 billion USD in 2024.

What will be the market size for pistols in 2035?

The market size for pistols in the US Small Arms Market is expected to reach 1.167 billion USD by 2035.

Who are the key players in the US Small Arms Market?

Major players include Daniel Defense, Glock Ges.m.b.H., Sturm, Ruger and Co., and Smith and Wesson Brands.

What are the expected market figures for shotguns in 2024 and 2035?

The market for shotguns is valued at 0.5 billion USD in 2024 and is expected to grow to 0.917 billion USD by 2035.

What is the projected market size for machine guns by 2035?

The market size for machine guns is projected to reach 0.583 billion USD by 2035.

What are some growth drivers for the US Small Arms Market?

Growth drivers include increased demand for personal and home defense firearms.

What impact do current global scenarios have on the US Small Arms Market?

Current global scenarios and conflicts are likely to escalate the demand for small arms, thus influencing market growth.

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