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    Ductless Heat Pump Market

    ID: MRFR/CO/22747-HCR
    111 Pages
    Snehal Singh
    October 2025

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Research Report By Installation (Wall-Mounted, Ceiling-Mounted, Floor-Mounted, Casette-Type), By Capacity (Less than 12,000 BTU, 12,000 to 18,000 BTU, 18,000 to 24,000 BTU, More than 24,000 BTU), By Inverter Technology (Inverter, Non-Inverter), By Smart Features (Wi-Fi Connectivity, Remote Control, Voice Control, Energy Monitoring), By Efficiency (SEER 16+, SEER 17+, SEER 18+, SEER 19+) and  By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa)  - Forecast to 2035.

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    Ductless Heat Pump Market Infographic
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    Ductless Heat Pump Market Summary

    As per MRFR analysis, the Ductless Heat Pump Market Size was estimated at 39.12 USD Billion in 2024. The Ductless Heat Pump industry is projected to grow from 41.22 USD Billion in 2025 to 69.5 USD Billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.36 during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is experiencing robust growth driven by energy efficiency and technological advancements.

    • North America remains the largest market for ductless heat pumps, driven by increasing consumer awareness and demand for energy-efficient solutions.
    • The Asia-Pacific region is emerging as the fastest-growing market, fueled by rapid urbanization and rising energy costs.
    • Wall-mounted units dominate the market, while cassette-type systems are gaining traction as the fastest-growing segment due to their versatility.
    • Key market drivers include government incentives and rebates, alongside a shift towards sustainable building practices.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 39.12 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 69.5 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025 - 2035) 5.36%

    Major Players

    Mitsubishi Electric (JP), Daikin (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Fujitsu General (JP), Panasonic (JP), Toshiba (JP), Samsung Electronics (KR), Gree Electric Appliances (CN), Trane Technologies (IE), Carrier Global (US)

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Trends

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is currently experiencing a notable transformation, driven by a combination of technological advancements and increasing consumer awareness regarding energy efficiency. As more individuals seek sustainable heating and cooling solutions, ductless heat pumps are emerging as a viable alternative to traditional HVAC systems. These systems offer flexibility in installation and operation, making them particularly appealing for residential and commercial applications. Furthermore, the growing emphasis on reducing carbon footprints is prompting both consumers and businesses to consider energy-efficient options, thereby enhancing the market's appeal. In addition to environmental considerations, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is also influenced by regulatory frameworks that promote the adoption of energy-efficient technologies. Governments worldwide are implementing policies that encourage the use of renewable energy sources and energy-efficient appliances. This regulatory support, coupled with advancements in ductless heat pump technology, is likely to foster innovation and drive market growth. As the industry evolves, manufacturers are expected to focus on enhancing product performance and integrating smart technologies, which may further elevate consumer interest and market penetration.

    Rising Demand for Energy Efficiency

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is witnessing an increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions. Consumers are becoming more conscious of their energy consumption and its environmental impact, leading to a preference for systems that reduce energy usage while maintaining comfort.

    Technological Innovations

    Ongoing technological advancements are shaping the Ductless Heat Pump Market. Innovations in inverter technology and smart home integration are enhancing system performance and user experience, making these systems more attractive to potential buyers.

    Regulatory Support for Sustainable Solutions

    Government policies aimed at promoting sustainability are positively impacting the Ductless Heat Pump Market. Incentives and regulations encouraging the adoption of energy-efficient technologies are likely to drive market growth and consumer adoption.

    The increasing emphasis on energy efficiency and the growing demand for sustainable heating solutions are driving the adoption of ductless heat pumps across various regions.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Drivers

    Rising Energy Costs

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is significantly influenced by the rising costs of energy. As utility prices continue to escalate, consumers are actively seeking more cost-effective heating and cooling solutions. Ductless heat pumps, known for their energy efficiency, present an attractive option for those looking to mitigate their energy expenses. According to recent data, ductless systems can reduce energy consumption by up to 30% compared to traditional systems, making them a financially appealing choice. This trend suggests that as energy prices rise, the Ductless Heat Pump Market may witness increased adoption as consumers prioritize long-term savings and efficiency.

    Technological Advancements

    Technological advancements play a pivotal role in shaping the Ductless Heat Pump Market. Innovations in inverter technology, smart thermostats, and enhanced refrigerants have led to improved performance and efficiency of ductless systems. These advancements not only enhance the user experience but also contribute to lower operational costs. For instance, modern ductless heat pumps can now operate efficiently in extreme temperatures, expanding their applicability across various climates. As manufacturers continue to invest in research and development, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is likely to benefit from these innovations, attracting consumers who seek cutting-edge solutions for their heating and cooling needs.

    Increasing Consumer Awareness

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is experiencing a notable surge in consumer awareness regarding energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions. As individuals become more informed about the environmental impact of traditional HVAC systems, they are increasingly inclined to consider ductless heat pumps as a viable alternative. This shift in consumer behavior is further supported by educational campaigns and informational resources that highlight the benefits of ductless systems, such as lower energy consumption and reduced carbon footprints. Consequently, this heightened awareness is likely to drive demand within the Ductless Heat Pump Market, as consumers seek to make more sustainable choices for their homes and businesses.

    Government Incentives and Rebates

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is positively impacted by government incentives and rebates aimed at promoting energy-efficient technologies. Various jurisdictions have implemented programs that provide financial assistance to homeowners and businesses that invest in ductless heat pumps. These incentives can significantly reduce the initial installation costs, making ductless systems more accessible to a broader audience. As more consumers take advantage of these programs, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is expected to experience accelerated growth. This trend indicates a collaborative effort between governments and the industry to foster sustainable practices and reduce overall energy consumption.

    Shift Towards Sustainable Building Practices

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is witnessing a shift towards sustainable building practices, driven by both consumer preferences and regulatory frameworks. As architects and builders increasingly prioritize energy-efficient designs, ductless heat pumps are becoming a preferred choice for new constructions and renovations. This trend is further supported by the growing emphasis on green building certifications, which often require the integration of energy-efficient systems. Consequently, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is likely to see a rise in demand as more projects incorporate these systems to meet sustainability goals and enhance overall energy performance.

    Market Segment Insights

    By Installation Type: Wall-Mounted (Largest) vs. Cassette-Type (Fastest-Growing)

    In the Ductless Heat Pump Market, installation type plays a critical role in determining consumer preferences and regional adoption. Wall-mounted units dominate the market, accounting for a significant share due to their space-saving design and ease of installation in residential and commercial buildings. Ceiling-mounted and floor-mounted units also contribute to the market but hold a smaller stake. Cassette-type systems, with their hidden design, are gaining traction, particularly in commercial settings where aesthetics and space efficiency are paramount, showcasing the varied preferences across different segments. With increasing demand for energy-efficient heating systems, this segment is experiencing dynamic growth. Wall-mounted units maintain their stronghold as homeowners favor their versatility, while cassette-type systems are emerging swiftly due to advancements in technology and design, making them suitable for larger, open spaces. Moreover, rising awareness about climate control and energy savings is driving interest in floor-mounted and ceiling-mounted units, catering to diverse installation requirements in the market.

    Wall-Mounted (Dominant) vs. Cassette-Type (Emerging)

    Wall-mounted ductless heat pumps are the dominant choice among consumers due to their adaptability, compact design, and ease of installation in various settings. These units not only provide efficient heating and cooling solutions but also blend seamlessly into home aesthetics. In contrast, cassette-type systems are emerging as a popular option, especially in commercial environments. They offer unobtrusive cooling while utilizing innovative technology for energy efficiency. The growing inclination toward architectural beauty combined with effective climate control positions cassette types as a notable alternative in spaces with high ceilings or open layouts. While wall-mounted systems maintain a robust market presence, the evolution of cassete-types reflects shifting consumer preferences towards more versatile and less visible installations.

    By Capacity: 12,000 to 18,000 BTU (Largest) vs. 18,000 to 24,000 BTU (Fastest-Growing)

    In the Ductless Heat Pump Market, the capacity segment is characterized by a clear distribution among its various values. The '12,000 to 18,000 BTU' capacity segment holds the largest market share, driven by its versatility for residential and light commercial applications. This capacity range appeals to a broad customer base due to its balance of power and efficiency, making it a popular choice for medium-sized spaces. Notably, the '18,000 to 24,000 BTU' segment, while smaller in market share, is recognized as the fastest-growing segment. Its appeal lies in its suitability for larger residential spaces and commercial uses, distinguishing it as a rising player in the market.

    12,000 to 18,000 BTU (Dominant) vs. 18,000 to 24,000 BTU (Emerging)

    The '12,000 to 18,000 BTU' ductless heat pumps are the dominant force in the market thanks to their practicality and efficiency. These units are designed for homes and commercial spaces that require moderate heating and cooling, providing users with optimal comfort and lower running costs. Conversely, the '18,000 to 24,000 BTU' segment is viewed as an emerging player, capturing interest due to the trend of larger living spaces and the need for robust heating solutions in commercial setups. This segment is gaining traction rapidly, propelled by innovations in efficiency and performance, making it an attractive option for consumers looking for higher capacity solutions.

    By Inverter Technology: Inverter (Largest) vs. Non-Inverter (Fastest-Growing)

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market showcases a significant preference for inverter technology, which commands the largest market share due to its energy efficiency and superior performance in varying temperatures. Inverter systems adjust their operating speed according to the heating or cooling demand, allowing for lower energy consumption and operating costs, thus appealing to environmentally conscious consumers and commercial applications alike. In contrast, non-inverter units, while traditionally more accessible, are beginning to gain traction as they offer lower upfront costs and simpler installation processes. Growth trends indicate that the inverter segment continues to benefit from ongoing technological advancements and increased regulatory support for energy efficiency. As consumers prioritize sustainability, inverter systems are positioned as a future-dominant force in the market. Meanwhile, the non-inverter segment is experiencing rapid growth driven by emerging markets where affordability matters, highlighting a shift in consumer preferences. The push for energy efficiency and cost-effective solutions will further drive innovations across both technologies.

    Inverter Technology: Inverter (Dominant) vs. Non-Inverter (Emerging)

    Inverter heat pumps are leading the market due to their ability to adjust operational speeds and provide consistent heating and cooling, making them ideal for residential and commercial applications alike. Their benefits include decreased energy consumption, noise reduction, and enhanced comfort levels, leading to widespread adoption in regions experiencing extreme temperature fluctuations. On the other hand, non-inverter models, while historically popular for their lower price point and easier installation, are rapidly evolving with improved efficiency and technology. Consumers are increasingly recognizing the long-term savings associated with inverter systems, but the emerging non-inverter segment retains a loyal customer base that favors upfront affordability and ease of use. Both segments are vital in shaping the future landscape of the Ductless Heat Pump Market.

    By Smart Features: Wi-Fi Connectivity (Largest) vs. Remote Control (Fastest-Growing)

    In the Ductless Heat Pump Market, Wi-Fi Connectivity emerges as the largest segment, dominating the market share by providing convenience and seamless integration with smart home systems. Following closely, Remote Control has gained significant traction among consumers looking for enhanced user experiences without the need for smartphone applications. Voice Control and Energy Monitoring, while growing, still represent smaller portions of the market, emphasizing the continued preference for straightforward and accessible technologies in home heating solutions.

    Wi-Fi Connectivity (Dominant) vs. Voice Control (Emerging)

    Wi-Fi Connectivity is the dominant feature in the ductless heat pump segment, offering users unparalleled access to their heating systems from anywhere via smartphones or smart home assistants. This technology not only streamlines user experience but also aligns with the increasing trend toward smart homes. Voice Control is emerging as its counterpart, reflecting the shift towards hands-free operation. As voice-activated devices proliferate in households, this feature is set to attract a growing user base. As consumers prioritize convenience and technological integration, these features will be pivotal in shaping product offerings and market strategies.

    By Efficiency: SEER 19+ (Largest) vs. SEER 18+ (Fastest-Growing)

    In the Ductless Heat Pump Market, the efficiency segments reveal a competitive distribution. The SEER 19+ segment is the largest, capturing significant market interest due to its premium energy savings capabilities. Following closely, the SEER 18+ segment is emerging quickly, driven by increasing consumer awareness and the growing need for energy-efficient solutions. SEER 17+ and SEER 16+ segments still hold relevance, though they lag behind in both share and growth rates.

    Efficiency: SEER 19+ (Dominant) vs. SEER 18+ (Emerging)

    SEER 19+ ductless heat pumps dominate the market with their advanced energy efficiency ratings, making them a preferred choice among eco-conscious consumers and businesses aiming to reduce energy costs. These units offer superior performance in terms of cooling and heating, positioning themselves favorably in regions with extreme weather conditions. In contrast, SEER 18+ units are quickly rising in popularity due to competitive pricing and effective marketing strategies that highlight their energy-saving benefits. This segment is characterized by technological advancements and a focus on sustainability, attracting a broad range of customers keen on improving overall energy efficiency.

    Get more detailed insights about Ductless Heat Pump Market

    Regional Insights

    North America : Energy Efficiency Leader

    North America is witnessing significant growth in the ductless heat pump market, driven by increasing energy efficiency regulations and a shift towards sustainable heating solutions. The U.S. holds the largest market share at approximately 65%, followed by Canada at around 20%. The demand is further fueled by government incentives promoting energy-efficient technologies, which are expected to enhance market penetration in residential and commercial sectors. The competitive landscape is dominated by key players such as Carrier Global and Trane Technologies, alongside major international brands like Mitsubishi Electric and Daikin. The presence of these companies fosters innovation and competitive pricing, ensuring a diverse range of products. As the market evolves, partnerships and collaborations among manufacturers are likely to enhance product offerings and expand market reach.

    Europe : Regulatory-Driven Market Expansion

    Europe is experiencing a robust expansion in the ductless heat pump market, primarily driven by stringent environmental regulations and a strong commitment to reducing carbon emissions. The region's largest market, Germany, accounts for approximately 30% of the total market share, followed by France at around 25%. The European Union's Green Deal and various national policies are pivotal in promoting the adoption of energy-efficient heating solutions across member states. Leading countries in this market include Germany, France, and the UK, with significant contributions from local manufacturers and international players like LG Electronics and Fujitsu General. The competitive landscape is characterized by innovation and a focus on sustainability, with companies investing in advanced technologies to meet regulatory standards. This dynamic environment is expected to drive further growth and market diversification.

    Asia-Pacific : Emerging Market Potential

    The Asia-Pacific region is rapidly emerging as a significant player in the ductless heat pump market, driven by urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and increasing awareness of energy efficiency. China leads the market with a share of approximately 40%, followed by Japan at around 25%. Government initiatives aimed at promoting renewable energy sources and energy-efficient technologies are key catalysts for market growth in this region. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are at the forefront of this market, with major manufacturers such as Gree Electric Appliances and Daikin establishing a strong presence. The competitive landscape is marked by aggressive pricing strategies and technological advancements, as companies strive to meet the growing demand for efficient heating solutions. This trend is expected to continue, further solidifying the region's position in the global market.

    Middle East and Africa : Untapped Market Opportunities

    The ductless heat pump market in the Middle East and Africa is still in its nascent stages, presenting significant growth opportunities driven by increasing urbanization and a rising demand for energy-efficient solutions. The UAE and South Africa are the largest markets, collectively holding about 30% of the regional share. Government initiatives aimed at diversifying energy sources and enhancing energy efficiency are expected to catalyze market growth in the coming years. Key players in this region include international brands like Mitsubishi Electric and local manufacturers, which are beginning to invest in the development of ductless systems. The competitive landscape is evolving, with a focus on affordability and energy efficiency. As awareness of the benefits of ductless systems grows, the market is likely to attract more investments and innovations, paving the way for future expansion.

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is currently characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions. Key players such as Mitsubishi Electric (Japan), Daikin (Japan), and LG Electronics (South Korea) are strategically positioned to leverage innovation and sustainability as core components of their operational focus. Mitsubishi Electric (Japan) emphasizes technological advancements in inverter technology, while Daikin (Japan) is known for its extensive product range and commitment to eco-friendly solutions. LG Electronics (South Korea) has been focusing on smart home integration, enhancing user experience through digital transformation. Collectively, these strategies not only enhance their market presence but also shape a competitive environment that prioritizes efficiency and technological integration.

    In terms of business tactics, companies are increasingly localizing manufacturing to reduce costs and optimize supply chains. The Ductless Heat Pump Market appears moderately fragmented, with several key players exerting influence over regional markets. This structure allows for a diverse range of products and innovations, fostering competition that drives advancements in energy efficiency and customer satisfaction.

    In August 2025, Daikin (Japan) announced the launch of a new line of ductless heat pumps designed specifically for residential applications, featuring enhanced energy efficiency ratings. This strategic move is significant as it aligns with the growing consumer preference for sustainable home solutions, potentially increasing Daikin's market share in the residential sector. The introduction of this product line not only reinforces Daikin's commitment to innovation but also positions the company favorably against competitors.

    In September 2025, LG Electronics (South Korea) unveiled a partnership with a leading smart home technology provider to integrate AI capabilities into its ductless heat pump systems. This collaboration is noteworthy as it reflects the increasing trend towards smart home solutions, allowing LG to differentiate its offerings in a competitive market. The integration of AI is likely to enhance user experience and operational efficiency, further solidifying LG's position as a market leader.

    In October 2025, Mitsubishi Electric (Japan) announced a strategic acquisition of a local manufacturer in Europe, aimed at expanding its footprint in the European market. This acquisition is pivotal as it not only enhances Mitsubishi's production capabilities but also allows for localized product offerings tailored to European consumer preferences. Such strategic expansions are indicative of a broader trend where companies seek to strengthen their market presence through acquisitions and partnerships.

    As of October 2025, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is witnessing trends that emphasize digitalization, sustainability, and AI integration. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the competitive landscape, enabling companies to pool resources and expertise. Looking ahead, it is anticipated that competitive differentiation will evolve, shifting from traditional price-based competition to a focus on innovation, advanced technology, and supply chain reliability. This transition underscores the importance of adaptability and forward-thinking strategies in maintaining a competitive edge.

    Key Companies in the Ductless Heat Pump Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q2 2024: Vermont Gas Systems launches initiative to install ductless mini-split heat pumps In April 2024, Vermont Gas Systems announced a new program to install ductless mini-split heat pumps, providing homeowners with efficient heating and cooling solutions tailored for specific rooms or entire homes.

    Future Outlook

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a 5.36% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by energy efficiency demands, technological advancements, and increasing environmental regulations.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Expansion into smart home integration solutions
    • Development of energy-efficient models for commercial applications
    • Partnerships with renewable energy providers for hybrid systems

    By 2035, the market is expected to solidify its position as a leader in energy-efficient heating solutions.

    Market Segmentation

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Less than 12,000 BTU
    • 12,000 to 18,000 BTU
    • 18,000 to 24,000 BTU
    • More than 24,000 BTU

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Efficiency Outlook

    • SEER 16+
    • SEER 17+
    • SEER 18+
    • SEER 19+

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Smart Features Outlook

    • Wi-Fi Connectivity
    • Remote Control
    • Voice Control
    • Energy Monitoring

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation Type Outlook

    • Wall-Mounted
    • Ceiling-Mounted
    • Floor-Mounted
    • Cassette-Type

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Inverter Technology Outlook

    • Inverter
    • Non-Inverter

    Report Scope

    MARKET SIZE 202439.12(USD Billion)
    MARKET SIZE 202541.22(USD Billion)
    MARKET SIZE 203569.5(USD Billion)
    COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR)5.36% (2024 - 2035)
    REPORT COVERAGERevenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    BASE YEAR2024
    Market Forecast Period2025 - 2035
    Historical Data2019 - 2024
    Market Forecast UnitsUSD Billion
    Key Companies ProfiledMarket analysis in progress
    Segments CoveredMarket segmentation analysis in progress
    Key Market OpportunitiesGrowing demand for energy-efficient heating solutions drives innovation in the Ductless Heat Pump Market.
    Key Market DynamicsRising consumer preference for energy-efficient solutions drives innovation and competition in the ductless heat pump market.
    Countries CoveredNorth America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

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    FAQs

    What is the projected market valuation of the Ductless Heat Pump Market by 2035?

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is projected to reach a valuation of 69.5 USD Billion by 2035.

    What was the market valuation of the Ductless Heat Pump Market in 2024?

    In 2024, the Ductless Heat Pump Market was valued at 39.12 USD Billion.

    What is the expected CAGR for the Ductless Heat Pump Market during the forecast period 2025 - 2035?

    The expected CAGR for the Ductless Heat Pump Market during the forecast period 2025 - 2035 is 5.36%.

    Which companies are considered key players in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    Key players in the Ductless Heat Pump Market include Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin, LG Electronics, and Fujitsu General.

    What are the segment valuations for Wall-Mounted Ductless Heat Pumps?

    The segment valuation for Wall-Mounted Ductless Heat Pumps ranges from 15.0 to 27.0 USD Billion.

    How does the capacity segment of the Ductless Heat Pump Market perform?

    The capacity segment shows valuations from 7.83 to 21.26 USD Billion across various BTU ranges.

    What is the market performance of inverter technology in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    Inverter technology has a market valuation ranging from 20.0 to 36.0 USD Billion.

    What are the projected valuations for smart features in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    Smart features are projected to have valuations between 3.12 and 12.0 USD Billion.

    What efficiency ratings are represented in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    Efficiency ratings in the market include SEER 16+ to SEER 19+, with valuations from 7.44 to 19.65 USD Billion.

    What is the market valuation for ceiling-mounted Ductless Heat Pumps?

    The market valuation for ceiling-mounted Ductless Heat Pumps ranges from 10.0 to 18.0 USD Billion.

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