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    Ductless Heat Pump Market

    ID: MRFR/CO/22747-HCR
    111 Pages
    Snehal Singh
    October 2025

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Research Report By Installation (Wall-Mounted, Ceiling-Mounted, Floor-Mounted, Casette-Type), By Capacity (Less than 12,000 BTU, 12,000 to 18,000 BTU, 18,000 to 24,000 BTU, More than 24,000 BTU), By Inverter Technology (Inverter, Non-Inverter), By Smart Features (Wi-Fi Connectivity, Remote Control, Voice Control, Energy Monitoring), By Efficiency (SEER 16+, SEER 17+, SEER 18+, SEER 19+) and  By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa)  - Forecast to 2035.

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    Ductless Heat Pump Market Infographic
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    Ductless Heat Pump Market Summary

    The global ductless heat pump market is projected to grow from 39.12 USD billion in 2024 to 69.50 USD billion by 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    Ductless Heat Pump Key Trends and Highlights

    • The market is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6 percent from 2025 to 2035.
    • By 2035, the market valuation is anticipated to reach 70.0 USD billion, indicating robust growth potential.
    • in 2024, the market is valued at 39.12 USD billion, reflecting a strong foundation for future expansion.
    • Growing adoption of ductless heat pumps due to increasing energy efficiency awareness is a major market driver.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 39.12 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 69.50 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025-2035) 5.36%

    Major Players

    Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin Industries, Toshiba Carrier Corporation, Haier, Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, Trane Technologies, Fujitsu General, Panasonic, Midea Group, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Thermal Systems, Hisense, Carrier, Gree Electric Appliances, Lennox International

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Trends

    The  ductless heat pump market is experiencing a rapid expansion driven by rising energy efficiency concerns and advancements in technology. Governments worldwide are implementing stringent regulations to promote energy-efficient HVAC systems, fostering the adoption of ductless heat pumps. Additionally, increasing demand for comfort and convenience in residential and commercial buildings fuels market growth.

    Significant opportunities lie in the integration of smart technologies, allowing remote control and monitoring of ductless heat pumps. The trend towards personalized comfort and zoning systems is creating new avenues for market expansion. Additionally, the growing popularity of multi-zone systems, which can simultaneously heat or cool multiple rooms, presents a major growth opportunity.

    Recent trends indicate a shift towards inverter technology, which enhances energy efficiency and reduces operating costs. The introduction of variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems, which provide precise temperature control for individual zones, is gaining traction in commercial applications. Furthermore, innovations in refrigerant technology, such as the adoption of eco-friendly refrigerants, are shaping the market landscape, driving the industry towards sustainability and environmental consciousness.

    The increasing emphasis on energy efficiency and the growing demand for sustainable heating solutions are driving the adoption of ductless heat pumps across various regions.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Drivers

    Market Growth Projections

    The Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry is poised for substantial growth, with projections indicating a market value of 38.5 USD Billion in 2024 and an anticipated increase to 70.0 USD Billion by 2035. This growth trajectory suggests a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% from 2025 to 2035. Such figures reflect the increasing adoption of ductless heat pumps across various sectors, driven by factors such as energy efficiency, technological advancements, and regulatory support. The market's expansion is indicative of a broader trend towards sustainable heating solutions, which are likely to dominate the industry landscape in the coming years.

    Technological Advancements

    Technological innovations play a pivotal role in the expansion of the Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry. Recent advancements in inverter technology and smart home integration enhance the performance and usability of ductless systems. These innovations allow for precise temperature control and improved energy management, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers. As the market evolves, manufacturers are increasingly incorporating features such as Wi-Fi connectivity and remote monitoring, which may further drive adoption. The anticipated growth from 2024 to 2035, with a projected market value of 70.0 USD Billion, underscores the importance of continuous technological development in this sector.

    Regulatory Support and Incentives

    Regulatory frameworks and government incentives are crucial drivers for the Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry. Many governments worldwide are implementing policies that encourage the adoption of energy-efficient heating solutions. These initiatives often include tax credits, rebates, and grants for consumers who invest in ductless heat pumps. Such financial incentives not only reduce the initial cost barrier but also promote awareness of the benefits associated with these systems. As a result, the market is expected to witness robust growth, with projections indicating a market value of 70.0 USD Billion by 2035, driven by supportive regulatory environments.

    Rising Demand for Energy Efficiency

    The Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry experiences a notable surge in demand driven by an increasing emphasis on energy efficiency. As consumers and businesses alike seek to reduce energy consumption and lower utility bills, ductless heat pumps present an attractive solution. These systems are known for their high efficiency ratings, often exceeding traditional heating methods. In 2024, the market is projected to reach 38.5 USD Billion, reflecting a growing preference for sustainable heating solutions. This trend is further supported by government incentives aimed at promoting energy-efficient technologies, which could bolster market growth in the coming years.

    Shift Towards Renewable Energy Sources

    The transition towards renewable energy sources significantly impacts the Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry. As more consumers and businesses seek to reduce their carbon footprint, ductless heat pumps, which can be powered by renewable energy, become increasingly appealing. This shift aligns with global sustainability goals and encourages the adoption of technologies that utilize solar or wind energy. The integration of ductless systems with renewable energy sources not only enhances their efficiency but also contributes to long-term cost savings. The market's growth trajectory, with a projected CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2035, reflects this growing trend towards sustainability.

    Increased Awareness of Indoor Air Quality

    Growing awareness regarding indoor air quality significantly influences the Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry. Ductless systems not only provide heating and cooling but also improve air quality by filtering pollutants and allergens. As health-conscious consumers prioritize clean air environments, the demand for ductless heat pumps is likely to rise. This trend is particularly evident in urban areas where air quality concerns are more pronounced. The integration of advanced filtration systems in ductless units may further enhance their appeal, potentially leading to increased market penetration and contributing to the projected CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2035.

    Market Segment Insights

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation Insights  

    Installation Segment Insights and Overview The installation segment plays a crucial role in the  Ductless Heat Pump Market. The market is segmented into four main installation types: Wall-Mounted, Ceiling-Mounted, Floor-Mounted, and Cassette-Type. Each type caters to specific needs and preferences of consumers.

    Wall-mounted ductless heat pumps are the most popular type, accounting for a significant share of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. They are compact, easy to install, and offer both heating and cooling capabilities. Their sleek design makes them suitable for various residential and commercial applications.

    Ceiling-mounted ductless heat pumps are often used in commercial buildings and large spaces. They provide efficient airflow distribution and can be concealed within the ceiling, offering a discreet and aesthetically pleasing solution.

    Floor-mounted ductless heat pumps are ideal for rooms with limited wall or ceiling space. They are typically taller than other types and are designed to blend seamlessly with the décor of the room.Cassette-type ductless heat pumps are designed for drop-in ceiling installations. They are commonly used in offices, retail stores, and other commercial spaces. Their compact size and flush-mounted design provide a subtle and unobtrusive heating and cooling solution.

    The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is witnessing steady growth, driven by increasing energy efficiency awareness, rising demand for comfort solutions, and government incentives for energy-saving appliances. The installation segment is expected to continue expanding in the coming years as more consumers opt for energy-efficient and convenient heating and cooling systems.

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights  

    The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is segmented by capacity into Less than 12,000 BTU, 12,000 to 18,000 BTU, 18,000 to 24,000 BTU, and More than 24,000 BTU. Among these segments, the 12,000 to 18,000 BTU segment is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, accounting for around 35% of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. This is due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient and cost-effective heating and cooling solutions for small to medium-sized spaces.

    The Less than 12,000 BTU segment is also expected to witness significant growth, owing to its growing popularity in residential applications.The 18,000 to 24,000 BTU and More than 24,000 BTU segments are expected to grow at a steady pace, driven by the increasing adoption of ductless heat pumps in commercial and industrial applications.

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Inverter Technology Insights  

    The Inverter and Non-Inverter segments collectively account for the vast majority of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. The Inverter segment, which offers improved energy efficiency and temperature control, is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.8%, reaching a market valuation of USD 26.5 billion by 2024.

    The Non-Inverter segment is projected to exhibit a CAGR of 3.9%, reaching a market size of USD 11.4 billion by 2024. Inverter technology, by precisely adjusting compressor speed to match heating and cooling demands, optimizes energy usage and reduces temperature fluctuations, resulting in lower operating costs and enhanced comfort for end-users.

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Smart Features Insights  

    The increasing demand for enhanced convenience, energy efficiency, and remote access is driving the growth of smart features in the  Ductless Heat Pump market. Wi-Fi Connectivity allows users to control their Ductless Heat Pump remotely through smartphones or tablets, enabling easy temperature adjustment, scheduling, and monitoring from anywhere.

    Remote Control provides similar functionality through dedicated remote controls, offering flexibility and ease of use. Voice Control integration with smart home assistants like Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant enables hands-free operation and enhances user experience.Energy Monitoring features track energy consumption and provides insights into usage patterns, empowering consumers to optimize energy efficiency and reduce utility bills. These smart features are expected to contribute significantly to the growth of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, which is projected to reach USD 38.46 Billion by 2024, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.2% during the forecast period 2023-2032.

    Regional variations and specific market trends may influence the adoption rate of these smart features, providing opportunities for manufacturers to tailor their offerings to meet local market demands. 

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Efficiency Insights  

    The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is segmented by Efficiency into SEER 16+, SEER 17+, SEER 18+, and SEER 19+. The SEER 16+ segment is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years. In 2023, the SEER 16+ segment accounted for a revenue of USD 10.2 billion and is projected to reach USD 16.5 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.6%.

    The SEER 17+ segment is also expected to grow at a steady pace, with a projected CAGR of 5.3%. The SEER 18+ segment is expected to account for a significant share of the market in the coming years, with a projected CAGR of 5.1%.The SEER 19+ segment is expected to grow at a slower pace, with a projected CAGR of 4.9%.

    Get more detailed insights about Ductless Heat Pump Market Research Report - Global Forecast till 2034

    Regional Insights

    The regional segmentation of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market offers insights into the market's geographic distribution and performance across various regions. North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA are the key regions evaluated in this segmentation.

    North America holds a significant share of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, driven by the increasing adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in residential and commercial buildings. The region's focus on reducing carbon emissions and improving energy efficiency contributes to the growth of the ductless heat pump market.Europe presents a promising market for ductless heat pumps due to government initiatives promoting renewable energy and energy conservation. The region's emphasis on sustainable construction and renovation projects creates opportunities for the adoption of ductless heat pumps as an energy-efficient alternative to traditional heating and cooling systems.

    APAC is expected to witness substantial growth in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, primarily driven by the rising demand for energy-efficient solutions in rapidly developing economies like China and India.The region's growing population and urbanization fuel the need for efficient and affordable heating and cooling systems, making ductless heat pumps an attractive option.

    South America offers growth potential for the Ductless Heat Pump Market. Countries like Brazil and Argentina are focusing on reducing energy consumption and promoting sustainable practices. Government incentives and awareness campaigns contribute to the increasing adoption of ductless heat pumps in the region.

    MEA presents opportunities for the Ductless Heat Pump Market due to rising energy demand and government initiatives supporting renewable energy. The region's hot climate and increasing population drive the demand for energy-efficient cooling solutions, making ductless heat pumps a suitable choice for residential and commercial applications.

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Regional

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major players in the Ductless Heat Pump Market industry are focusing on expanding their product portfolio and increasing their market share. Leading Ductless Heat Pump Market players are adopting various strategies, such as new product launches, acquisitions, and partnerships, to gain a competitive edge in the market. The Ductless Heat Pump Market is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years, owing to rising demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions.A prominent player in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, Mitsubishi Electric, is known for its advanced technology and innovative products.

    The company offers a wide range of ductless heat pumps, including single-zone, multi-zone, and variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems. Mitsubishi Electric's ductless heat pumps are designed to provide high energy efficiency, quiet operation, and precise temperature control. The company has a strong presence in both residential and commercial markets, and it continues to invest in research and development to enhance its product offerings.Another key player in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, Daikin Industries, is a  leader in the manufacturing of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. The company's ductless heat pumps are known for their reliability, durability, and energy efficiency.

    Daikin Industries offers a comprehensive range of ductless heat pumps, including wall-mounted, ceiling-mounted, and floor-mounted units. The company has a strong focus on innovation, and it regularly introduces new products and technologies to meet the evolving needs of its customers. Daikin Industries has a wide distribution network, which enables it to reach customers in various regions around the world.

    Key Companies in the Ductless Heat Pump Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q2 2024: Vermont Gas Systems launches initiative to install ductless mini-split heat pumps In April 2024, Vermont Gas Systems announced a new program to install ductless mini-split heat pumps, providing homeowners with efficient heating and cooling solutions tailored for specific rooms or entire homes.

    Future Outlook

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

    The Ductless Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a 5.36% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by increasing energy efficiency demands and technological advancements.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Develop smart ductless systems integrating IoT for enhanced energy management.
    • Expand into emerging markets with tailored financing options for consumers.
    • Invest in R&D for eco-friendly refrigerants to meet regulatory standards.

    By 2035, the Ductless Heat Pump Market is expected to exhibit robust growth and increased market penetration.

    Market Segmentation

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Less than 12,000 BTU
    • 12,000 to 18,000 BTU
    • 18,000 to 24,000 BTU
    • More than 24,000 BTU

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Regional Outlook

    • North America
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Asia Pacific
    • Middle East and Africa

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Efficiency Outlook

    • SEER 16+
    • SEER 17+
    • SEER 18+
    • SEER 19+

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation Outlook

    • Wall-Mounted
    • Ceiling-Mounted
    • Floor-Mounted
    • Cassette-Type

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Smart Features Outlook

    • Wi-Fi Connectivity
    • Remote Control
    • Voice Control
    • Energy Monitoring

    Ductless Heat Pump Market Inverter Technology Outlook

    • Inverter
    • Non-Inverter

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024 39.12 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2025 41.22 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2035 69.50 (USD Billion)
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 5.36% (2025 - 2035)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2020 - 2024
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled Toshiba Carrier Corporation, Haier, Samsung Electronics, Daikin, LG Electronics, Trane Technologies, Fujitsu General, Panasonic, Mitsubishi Electric, Midea Group, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Thermal Systems, Hisense, Carrier, Gree Electric Appliances, Lennox International
    Segments Covered Installation, Capacity, Inverter Technology, Smart Features, Efficiency, Regional
    Key Market Opportunities 1 Growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions2 Increasing adoption in renovation and retrofit projects for enhanced comfort3 Rising demand for customized temperature control in different zones within buildings4 Favorable government policies and incentives driving adoption5 Integration with smart home systems for remote control and energy management
    Key Market Dynamics Rising energy efficiency concerns Growing demand for convenience Increasing government regulations and incentives Technological advancements and innovation Expanding applications in residential and commercial sectors
    Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

    FAQs

    What is the market size of the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The ductless heat pump market is expected to be worth USD 41.22 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.4% to reach USD 65.96 billion by 2034.

    What is the regional distribution of the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    North America holds a significant share of the Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, and Europe is also a significant market, with growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions.

    What are the key applications of Ductless Heat Pumps?

    Ductless heat pumps are primarily used for space heating and cooling in residential and commercial buildings. They are also gaining popularity in industrial applications, such as warehouses and manufacturing facilities.

    Who are the major competitors in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    Key players in the ductless heat pump market include Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin Industries, Gree Electric Appliances, LG Electronics, and Samsung Electronics. These companies offer a wide range of products and technologies to meet the diverse needs of customers.

    What are the key growth drivers of the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, increasing urbanization, and government incentives for renewable energy technologies are the primary drivers of the ductless heat pump market.

    What are the challenges faced by the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The high upfront cost of ductless heat pumps and the lack of skilled technicians for installation and maintenance are some of the challenges faced by the market.

    What are the key trends in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The integration of smart technologies, the development of more efficient and quieter systems, and the growing adoption of ductless heat pumps in commercial applications are some of the key trends in the market.

    What is the expected growth rate of the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The ductless heat pump market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2034.

    What are the emerging opportunities in the Ductless Heat Pump Market?

    The growing demand for ductless heat pumps in developing countries, the increasing popularity of smart home technologies, and the focus on sustainability are creating new opportunities in the market.

    What are the key factors to consider when choosing a Ductless Heat Pump?

    Factors to consider when choosing a ductless heat pump include the size and layout of the space to be heated or cooled, the climate conditions, the energy efficiency rating, the noise level, and the installation and maintenance costs.

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