• Cat-intel
  • MedIntelliX
  • Resources
  • About Us
  • Request Free Sample ×

    Kindly complete the form below to receive a free sample of this Report

    Leading companies partner with us for data-driven Insights

    clients tt-cursor
    Hero Background

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market

    ID: MRFR/CO/28955-HCR
    111 Pages
    Snehal Singh
    October 2025

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Research Report: By Installation Type (Vertical Closed Loop, Horizontal Closed Loop, Open Loop), By Application (Residential, Commercial, Industrial), By Heat Exchange Type (Water Source, Earth Source), By Capacity (Small (less than 50 kW), Medium (50-250 kW), Large (over 250 kW)) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa) - Forecast to 2035.

    Share:
    Download PDF ×

    We do not share your information with anyone. However, we may send you emails based on your report interest from time to time. You may contact us at any time to opt-out.

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market
 Infographic
    Purchase Options

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Summary

    The Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market is projected to grow significantly from 8.08 USD Billion in 2024 to 20.28 USD Billion by 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    Ground Source Heat Pump Key Trends and Highlights

    • The market is expected to witness a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.72% from 2025 to 2035.
    • By 2035, the market valuation is anticipated to reach 20.3 USD Billion, indicating robust growth potential.
    • in 2024, the market is valued at 8.08 USD Billion, reflecting a strong foundation for future expansion.
    • Growing adoption of ground source heat pumps due to increasing energy efficiency regulations is a major market driver.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 8.08 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 20.28 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025-2035) 8.72%

    Major Players

    Daikin Industries, Ltd., Ingersoll Rand, NIBE, Vaillant, Carrier, Trane Technologies, LG Electronics, Panasonic, Glen Dimplex, Thermia, Haier, Viessmann, Mitsubishi Electric, Stiebel Eltron, Bosch, Samsung, Danfoss

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Trends

    Driven by factors such as rising energy costs, increasing environmental concerns, and government incentives, the Ground Source Heat Pump market is witnessing significant growth. The growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in residential and commercial buildings is creating ample opportunities for market expansion.

    The adoption of ground source heat pumps is increasingly recognized as a viable solution for enhancing energy efficiency and reducing greenhouse gas emissions in residential and commercial buildings.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Drivers

    Market Growth Projections

    The Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry is projected to experience robust growth in the coming years. In 2024, the market is valued at 8.08 USD Billion, with expectations to reach 20.3 USD Billion by 2035. This growth trajectory suggests a compound annual growth rate of 8.72% from 2025 to 2035. Such projections indicate a strong market potential driven by increasing demand for renewable energy solutions, technological advancements, and supportive government policies. The anticipated growth reflects a broader trend towards sustainable energy practices and the adoption of energy-efficient technologies across various sectors.

    Increasing Awareness of Energy Efficiency

    Increasing awareness of energy efficiency among consumers is significantly influencing the Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry. As individuals and businesses become more conscious of energy consumption and its environmental impact, the demand for efficient heating and cooling solutions rises. Ground source heat pumps, known for their low operational costs and high efficiency, are becoming a preferred choice. Educational campaigns and information dissemination by governments and environmental organizations are fostering this awareness. Consequently, the market is likely to see substantial growth as more consumers opt for energy-efficient technologies, aligning with global sustainability goals.

    Government Incentives and Support Programs

    Government incentives and support programs are pivotal in driving the Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry. Many countries offer financial incentives, tax rebates, and grants to encourage the installation of renewable energy systems, including ground source heat pumps. These initiatives lower the upfront costs for consumers, making the technology more appealing. For instance, various states in the United States have implemented programs that subsidize installation costs, thereby increasing market penetration. Such supportive policies are expected to contribute to a compound annual growth rate of 8.72% from 2025 to 2035, further solidifying the market's growth trajectory.

    Urbanization and Infrastructure Development

    Urbanization and infrastructure development are key drivers of the Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry. As urban areas expand, the demand for efficient heating and cooling solutions increases. Ground source heat pumps are particularly well-suited for urban environments, where space is limited, and energy efficiency is paramount. The ongoing development of residential and commercial buildings in urban centers creates a favorable environment for the adoption of these systems. This trend is expected to contribute to the market's growth, as cities seek to implement sustainable energy solutions to meet the needs of their growing populations.

    Rising Demand for Renewable Energy Solutions

    The Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry is experiencing a notable surge in demand for renewable energy solutions. As nations strive to meet climate goals and reduce carbon emissions, ground source heat pumps are increasingly recognized for their efficiency and sustainability. In 2024, the market is projected to reach 8.08 USD Billion, reflecting a growing preference for eco-friendly heating and cooling systems. This trend is particularly evident in regions with stringent environmental regulations, where governments incentivize the adoption of renewable technologies. The shift towards sustainable energy sources is likely to propel the market further, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change.

    Technological Advancements in Heat Pump Systems

    Technological advancements play a crucial role in the Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market Industry, enhancing the efficiency and performance of heat pump systems. Innovations such as improved heat exchanger designs and advanced control systems are making ground source heat pumps more accessible and effective. These developments not only increase energy efficiency but also reduce installation and maintenance costs. As a result, the market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a rise to 20.3 USD Billion by 2035. The integration of smart technologies and automation further supports this growth, appealing to consumers seeking modern, efficient heating solutions.

    Market Segment Insights

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Installation Type Insights

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is segmented by Installation Type into Vertical Closed Loop, Horizontal Closed Loop, and Open Loop. Among these, the Vertical Closed Loop segment is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, as they are highly efficient and reliable. The Horizontal Closed Loop segment is expected to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, as they have reduced installation costs and are easy to install.

    The Open Loop segment is likely to have a lower market share, as they have lesser efficiency and produce an environmental impact.The revenue of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 4.2 billion by 2024 for the Vertical Closed Loop segment, expanding at a CAGR of 8.5%. The Horizontal Closed Loop segment is expected to reach USD 2.3 billion by 2024, expanding at a CAGR of 9.0%, and the Open Loop segment is expected to reach USD 1.2 billion by 2024, expanding at a CAGR of 7.5%.

    The vertical closed loop is a highly efficient method and is expected to have high demand from the energy-efficient products during the forecast period. The demand will be driven by the efficient heating and cooling requisites of both residential and commercial buildings.Vertical Closed Loop systems are highly efficient grounding, as it takes advantage of the earth’s constant underground temperature to heat and cool buildings. The Ground Source Heat Pump systems are more reliable as they are not affected by the outside air temperature.

    The heating and cooling of the buildings are relatively more efficient as Ground Source Heat Pump systems do not require air handlers in the home or the ductwork. The demand for the Horizontal Closed Loop segment will be driven by the lower costs for installing the Ground Source Heat Pump systems in the ground.The Heat Pump systems are relatively easy to install and have reduced the cost of installation. The systems for Vertical Closed Loop are relatively more complex and are inserted deep into the Earth’s crust.

    The increasing penetration of the heating and cooling systems in the rural areas coupled with the demand for the Heating and cooling systems from newer geographic locations is expected to adopt the heating and cooling installations.

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Application Insights

    Application Segment Insight and Overview In the ground source heat pump market, the application segment is categorised into residential, commercial, and industrial. Among these, residential will have the highest market share over the forecast period. The need for systems that can provide both heating and cooling solutions is expected to drive the demand for ground source heat pumps in the residential sector over the forecast period.

    Further, government incentives and mandates are stipulating the use of renewable heating systems, which is expected to further contribute to the growth of the residential segment.In developed economies, there is an increasing shift towards renewable energy sources, which will also benefit the market growth. The commercial segment is also expected to grow rapidly over the forecast period. With the increasing construction of commercial buildings, there is a rising need for efficient cooling systems. Further, the increasing concern about environmental sustainability is attracting the use of renewable energy systems in the commercial sector.

    Hence it is expected to drive the growth of commercial segment. In the industrial sector, the growth is expected to be moderate.However, the demand for renewable energy sources will cause the ground source heat pump market to experience growth in the industrial sector. The increasing demand for cooling systems and declining cost of the system will also be major drivers. Revenue Outlook The residential segment is expected to have the highest revenue share over the forecast period, followed by the commercial and industrial segments.

    The increasing construction of both residential and commercial buildings and the need for energy-efficient heating and cooling systems will drive the revenue of the market over the forecast period.

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Heat Exchange Type Insights

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is segmented by heat exchange type into water source and earth source. Among these, the water source segment is expected to hold a larger market share during the forecast period. This is attributed to the increasing adoption of water source heat pumps in residential and commercial buildings due to their lower installation and maintenance costs compared to earth source heat pumps.

    Moreover, the growing popularity of geothermal heating and cooling systems is further driving the growth of the water source heat pump market.The earth source segment, on the other hand, is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in commercial and industrial buildings.

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is segmented by capacity into small (less than 50 kW), medium (50-250 kW), and large (over 250 kW). Among these, the small capacity segment is expected to dominate the market in the coming years, owing to the increasing popularity of small-scale geothermal heating and cooling systems for residential and commercial applications.

    The medium capacity segment is also expected to witness significant growth, driven by the rising demand for ground source heat pumps in larger commercial buildings and industrial facilities.The large capacity segment is expected to account for a smaller share of the market, but it is likely to grow at a steady pace due to the increasing adoption of ground source heat pumps for district heating and cooling systems.

    In 2023, the small capacity segment is estimated to account for around 45% of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market revenue, while the medium and large capacity segments are expected to account for around 35% and 20%, respectively. By 2027, the small capacity segment is projected to reach a valuation of approximately 5.2 billion USD, growing at a CAGR of 8.9%.The medium capacity segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1%, reaching a valuation of around 4.1 billion USD by 2027.

    The large capacity segment is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.6%, reaching a valuation of approximately 2.6 billion USD by 2027. The growth of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market is attributed to several factors, including increasing awareness of the environmental benefits of geothermal energy, rising demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, and government incentives and regulations promoting the adoption of renewable energy technologies.The market is also expected to benefit from the growing construction industry and the increasing adoption of smart building technologies.

    Get more detailed insights about Ground Source Heat Pump Market Research Report - Global Forecast by 2034

    Regional Insights

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is segmented into North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA. Among these regions, North America is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, owing to the growing adoption of ground source heat pumps in the region. Europe is expected to be the second-largest market, followed by APAC.

    The APAC region is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period, due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in countries such as China and India.South America and MEA are expected to account for a relatively smaller share of the market, but they are expected to witness steady growth in the coming years. 

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major players in Ground Source Heat Pump Market industry are focusing on expanding their product portfolio, acquiring new customers, and entering new markets. Leading Ground Source Heat Pump Market players are also investing in research and development to develop new and innovative products and technologies. The Ground Source Heat Pump Market development is driven by the growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, government incentives, and environmental concerns.

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market Competitive Landscape is expected to remain competitive in the coming years, with new entrants and established players vying for market share.Daikin Industries, Ltd. is a leading provider of heating, cooling, and ventilation systems. The company offers a wide range of ground source heat pumps, including vertical, horizontal, and closed-loop systems. Daikin also offers a variety of accessories and controls to complement its ground source heat pumps. The company has a strong presence, with operations in over 150 countries.Ingersoll Rand is another major player in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market industry.

    The company offers a variety of ground source heat pumps, including water-to-water, water-to-air, and geothermal heat pumps. Ingersoll Rand also offers a variety of services, including design, installation, and maintenance. The company has a strong presence in North America and Europe.

    Key Companies in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q1 2024: Enertech Global Announces Opening of New Manufacturing Facility in Mitchell, South Dakota Enertech Global, a U.S.-based ground source heat pump manufacturer, opened a new manufacturing facility in Mitchell, South Dakota, to expand its production capacity and meet growing demand for geothermal heat pumps.
    • Q2 2024: Dandelion Energy Raises $70 Million in Series B Funding to Accelerate Geothermal Heat Pump Installations Dandelion Energy, a leading U.S. residential geothermal company, secured $70 million in Series B funding to scale up its ground source heat pump installations and expand into new markets.
    • Q2 2024: Viessmann Launches New Generation of Ground Source Heat Pumps for European Market Viessmann Climate Solutions SE introduced a new line of ground source heat pumps designed for higher efficiency and easier installation, targeting residential and commercial customers in Europe.
    • Q3 2024: Kensa Group Secures Major Contract to Supply Ground Source Heat Pumps for UK Social Housing Project Kensa Group won a contract to supply and install ground source heat pumps for a large-scale social housing retrofit project in the United Kingdom, aiming to improve energy efficiency and reduce carbon emissions.
    • Q3 2024: Trane Technologies Expands Ground Source Heat Pump Portfolio with New Commercial Models Trane Technologies announced the launch of new commercial ground source heat pump models, expanding its product portfolio to address growing demand for sustainable HVAC solutions in commercial buildings.
    • Q4 2024: Mitsubishi Electric Unveils Advanced Ground Source Heat Pump System for Large-Scale Applications Mitsubishi Electric introduced an advanced ground source heat pump system designed for large-scale residential and commercial applications, featuring improved energy efficiency and smart controls.
    • Q4 2024: Johnson Controls Partners with U.S. Department of Energy to Demonstrate Next-Generation Ground Source Heat Pumps Johnson Controls announced a partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy to pilot next-generation ground source heat pump technology in federal buildings, aiming to accelerate adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling.
    • Q1 2025: Danfoss Launches New Inverter-Driven Ground Source Heat Pump for European Market Danfoss launched a new inverter-driven ground source heat pump designed to optimize energy use and reduce operating costs for residential and light commercial buildings in Europe.
    • Q1 2025: Glen Dimplex Group Opens New R&D Center Focused on Ground Source Heat Pump Innovation Glen Dimplex Group opened a new research and development center dedicated to advancing ground source heat pump technology, with a focus on improving efficiency and reducing installation costs.
    • Q2 2025: Stiebel Eltron Announces Strategic Partnership with European Utility to Deploy Ground Source Heat Pumps Stiebel Eltron entered into a strategic partnership with a major European utility to deploy ground source heat pumps in residential developments, supporting the transition to low-carbon heating.
    • Q2 2025: Vaillant Group Launches Modular Ground Source Heat Pump System for Multi-Family Buildings Vaillant Group introduced a modular ground source heat pump system designed for multi-family residential buildings, enabling scalable and efficient heating solutions.
    • Q3 2025: Carrier Global Corporation Announces Acquisition of GeoSmart Energy to Expand Ground Source Heat Pump Offerings Carrier Global Corporation acquired GeoSmart Energy, a Canadian ground source heat pump manufacturer, to strengthen its position in the North American geothermal market and broaden its sustainable HVAC portfolio.

    Future Outlook

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

    The Global Ground Source Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at 8.72% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by increasing energy efficiency demands and sustainable building practices.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Develop innovative financing models for residential installations to enhance affordability.
    • Expand into emerging markets with tailored solutions for local climate conditions.
    • Leverage smart technology integration for enhanced system efficiency and user engagement.

    By 2035, the market is expected to achieve substantial growth, positioning itself as a leader in sustainable energy solutions.

    Market Segmentation

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Small (less than 50 kW)
    • Medium (50-250 kW)
    • Large (over 250 kW)

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Regional Outlook

    • North America
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Asia Pacific
    • Middle East and Africa

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Application Outlook

    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Installation Type Outlook

    • Vertical Closed Loop
    • Horizontal Closed Loop
    • Open Loop

    Ground Source Heat Pump Market Heat Exchange Type Outlook

    • Water Source
    • Earth Source

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024 8.08(USD Billion)
    Market Size 2025 8.79(USD Billion)
    Market Size 2035 20.28 (USD Billion)
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 8.72% (2025 - 2035)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2020 - 2024
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled NIBE, Vaillant, Carrier, Trane Technologies, LG Electronics, Panasonic, Glen Dimplex, Thermia, Haier, Viessmann, Mitsubishi Electric, Stiebel Eltron, Bosch, Samsung, Danfoss
    Segments Covered Installation Type, Application, Heat Exchange Type, Capacity, Regional
    Key Market Opportunities Growing demand for sustainable heating systems Government incentives and subsidies Technological advancements and improved efficiency
    Key Market Dynamics Increasing government incentives rising energy costs growing urbanization technological advancements and environmental concerns
    Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

    FAQs

    What is the projected market size of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market in 2025?

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is anticipated to reach a valuation of approximately 8.79 Billion USD in 2025.

    What is the estimated CAGR of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market during the forecast period of 2025-2034?

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 8.70% over the forecast period of 2025-2034.

    Which region is anticipated to dominate the Ground Source Heat Pump Market in 2025?

    North America is expected to account for a significant market share in 2025 due to factors such as government initiatives and rising awareness about energy efficiency.

    What are some of the key applications of ground source heat pumps?

    Ground source heat pumps are primarily used for space heating and cooling in residential and commercial buildings, as well as for industrial applications such as geothermal heating and cooling.

    Who are some of the prominent players in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market?

    Some of the key competitors in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market include Danfoss, Ingersoll Rand, Johnson Controls, and Viessmann, among others.

    What factors are driving the growth of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market?

    Factors such as increasing energy costs, government incentives, and growing environmental concerns are contributing to the growth of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market.

    What are some of the challenges faced by the Ground Source Heat Pump Market?

    Challenges include high installation costs, lack of skilled professionals, and space constraints in certain applications.

    What is the expected market size of the Ground Source Heat Pump Market in 2034?

    The Ground Source Heat Pump Market is projected to reach a valuation of approximately 18.65 Billion USD by 2034.

    Which region is anticipated to exhibit the highest growth rate in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market during the forecast period?

    The Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to demonstrate the highest growth rate during the forecast period due to factors such as rapid urbanization and increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions.

    What are some of the emerging trends in the Ground Source Heat Pump Market?

    Emerging trends include the integration of renewable energy sources, advancements in drilling technologies, and the development of more compact and efficient heat pumps.

    Download Free Sample

    Kindly complete the form below to receive a free sample of this Report

    Case Study
    Chemicals and Materials