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    Oil Refining Market

    ID: MRFR/E&P/27039-HCR
    100 Pages
    Chitranshi Jaiswal
    October 2025

    Oil Refining Market Research Report By Feedstock (Crude Oil, Natural Gas Liquids, Coal Tar, Biomass), By Product Type (Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Heating Oil, Lubricants, Asphalt, Petrochemicals), By Process (Hydrotreating, Fluid Catalytic Cracking, Vacuum Distillation, Alkylation, Isomerization) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa) - Forecast to 2035

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    Oil Refining Market Infographic
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    Oil Refining Market Summary

    The Global Oil Refining Market is projected to grow from 1679.18 USD Billion in 2024 to 2488.82 USD Billion by 2035, reflecting a steady growth trajectory.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    Oil Refining Key Trends and Highlights

    • The market is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.64% from 2025 to 2035.
    • By 2035, the market valuation is anticipated to reach 2488.8 USD Billion, indicating robust growth potential.
    • in 2024, the market is valued at 1679.18 USD Billion, establishing a solid foundation for future expansion.
    • Growing adoption of advanced refining technologies due to increasing energy demand is a major market driver.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 1679.18 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 2488.82 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025-2035) 3.64%

    Major Players

    Exxon Mobil Corporation, Saudi Aramco, Shell, Valero Energy, PetroChina, Chevron, TotalEnergies, Phillips 66, Indian Oil Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Marathon Petroleum, BP, Repsol, Sinopec, ENEOS Holdings

    Oil Refining Market Trends

    Key market drivers for the oil refining market include the rising demand for refined products such as gasoline and diesel due to increasing population and urbanization. Additionally, the growing adoption of cleaner fuels, driven by environmental concerns, is propelling the demand for refined products.Opportunities in the oil refining market include the expansion of downstream operations to enhance refining capacity and product diversification. Refineries can capture opportunities by investing in advanced technologies that optimize refining processes and improve efficiency.

    The global oil refining market is poised for transformation as regulatory frameworks evolve, emphasizing sustainability and efficiency in response to shifting energy demands.

    U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Oil Refining Market Drivers

    Market Growth Projections

    The Global Oil Refining Market Industry is poised for substantial growth, with projections indicating a market value of 2488.8 USD Billion by 2035. This anticipated growth reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.64% from 2025 to 2035, suggesting a steady increase in demand for refined petroleum products. Factors such as rising energy consumption, technological advancements, and regulatory changes are likely to contribute to this upward trend. As the industry evolves, stakeholders must remain vigilant in adapting to market shifts and consumer preferences.

    Rising Global Energy Demand

    The Global Oil Refining Market Industry is experiencing a surge in demand driven by increasing energy needs across various sectors. As economies expand, particularly in developing regions, the consumption of petroleum products is projected to rise significantly. For instance, the global energy demand is expected to grow, leading to an estimated market value of 1679.2 USD Billion in 2024. This growth is indicative of the essential role that oil refining plays in meeting the energy requirements of industries, transportation, and residential sectors worldwide.

    Shift Towards Renewable Energy Sources

    The Global Oil Refining Market Industry is facing a paradigm shift as the world increasingly embraces renewable energy sources. While oil remains a dominant energy source, the growing emphasis on sustainability is prompting refiners to diversify their portfolios. This transition may involve investing in biofuels and other alternative energy sources, which could reshape the market dynamics. Although the oil refining sector is expected to continue growing, the integration of renewables may influence future strategies and operational models, ensuring adaptability in a competitive energy landscape.

    Geopolitical Factors and Oil Supply Dynamics

    Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions are critical drivers affecting the Global Oil Refining Market Industry. Events such as conflicts in oil-producing regions can lead to fluctuations in crude oil prices, impacting refining margins. Additionally, trade policies and sanctions can alter supply routes and availability of crude oil, further complicating the market landscape. As refiners navigate these challenges, their strategic responses will be crucial in maintaining stability and profitability in an ever-changing global environment.

    Regulatory Framework and Environmental Policies

    The Global Oil Refining Market Industry is significantly influenced by stringent regulatory frameworks aimed at reducing emissions and promoting cleaner fuels. Governments worldwide are implementing policies that encourage the adoption of low-sulfur fuels and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Compliance with these regulations often necessitates investment in new technologies and processes, which can be costly but ultimately beneficial for long-term sustainability. The industry's ability to adapt to these regulations may determine its growth trajectory, as it seeks to balance profitability with environmental responsibility.

    Technological Advancements in Refining Processes

    Innovations in refining technologies are transforming the Global Oil Refining Market Industry, enhancing efficiency and reducing environmental impact. Advanced processes such as hydrocracking and catalytic reforming are being adopted to optimize output and minimize waste. These technologies not only improve yield but also enable refiners to produce cleaner fuels, aligning with global sustainability goals. As a result, the industry is likely to see a shift towards more efficient operations, which could contribute to a projected market growth to 2488.8 USD Billion by 2035, reflecting the importance of technological integration.

    Market Segment Insights

    Oil Refining Market Feedstock Insights  

    Oil Refining Market Feedstock Insights  

    The Feedstock segment in the Oil Refining Market is projected to exhibit steady growth over the forecast period, driven by increasing demand for refined petroleum products and the shift towards cleaner feedstocks. In 2023, the Feedstock segment accounted for a significant share of the Oil Refining Market revenue, and it is estimated to maintain its dominance throughout the forecast period. Crude oil remains the primary feedstock for oil refineries, accounting for over 90% of the total feedstock utilized. The demand for crude oil is expected to remain high in the coming years due to its versatility and cost-effectiveness.

    However, the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources and the growing focus on sustainability are expected to lead to a gradual decline in the share of crude oil in the feedstock mix. Natural gas liquids (NGLs), such as ethane, propane, and butane, are increasingly being used as feedstocks in oil refineries. NGLs offer several advantages over crude oil, including lower sulfur content and higher yields of light products. The growing production of NGLs from shale gas resources is expected to further drive the demand for NGLs as feedstocks.

    Coal tar, a byproduct of coal processing, is another important feedstock for oil refineries. Coal tar is primarily used to produce pitch, which is used in the manufacture of roofing materials, carbon electrodes, and other products. The demand for coal tar is expected to remain stable in the coming years, supported by the growing construction industry. Biomass, including plant materials and animal waste, is an emerging feedstock for oil refineries. Biomass can be converted into liquid fuels through various thermochemical and biochemical processes.

    The use of biomass as a feedstock offers several environmental benefits, including the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The growing demand for sustainable and renewable energy sources is expected to drive the adoption of biomass as a feedstock in the coming years. Overall, the Feedstock segment in the Oil Refining Market is characterized by a diverse range of feedstocks, each with its unique advantages and challenges. The increasing demand for refined petroleum products, the shift towards cleaner feedstocks, and the growing adoption of renewable energy sources are key factors shaping the dynamics of the Feedstock segment.

    Oil Refining Market Product Type Insights  

    Oil Refining Market Product Type Insights  

    The Oil Refining Market segmentation by product type includes gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, lubricants, asphalt, and petrochemicals. Among these, gasoline held the largest market share of 35.5% in 2023, and it is projected to maintain its dominance during the forecast period due to its extensive usage in light-duty vehicles. The increasing demand for diesel in heavy-duty vehicles and industrial applications is expected to drive the growth of the diesel segment at a CAGR of 3.6%.

    Jet fuel demand is anticipated to rebound as air travel recovers from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a steady growth in its market share. Heating oil consumption is likely to remain stable, supported by its use in residential and commercial heating systems. Lubricants, asphalt, and petrochemicals are expected to witness moderate growth, driven by their applications in various industries.

    Oil Refining Market Process Insights  

    Oil Refining Market Process Insights  

    The Oil Refining Market is segmented into various processes, including Hydrotreating, Fluid Catalytic Cracking, Vacuum Distillation, Alkylation, and Isomerization. These processes play crucial roles in refining crude oil into various products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.

     Hydrotreating: In 2023, the global market for Hydrotreating was valued at USD 12.5 billion and is projected to reach USD 18.2 billion by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.2%. This process involves treating petroleum fractions with hydrogen in the presence of a catalyst to remove impurities such as sulfur and nitrogen. Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC): The FCC segment held a significant market share of around 35% in 2023, with a market value of USD 22.7 billion. FCC is a catalytic cracking process widely used in refineries to convert heavy fractions into lighter and more valuable products like gasoline and propylene.

    Vacuum Distillation: Vacuum Distillation accounted for a market size of USD 15.3 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 3.8% until 2030. This process separates crude oil into various fractions based on their boiling points under reduced pressure.

    Alkylation: Alkylation is a crucial process in the refining industry, contributing to the production of high-octane gasoline. The global Alkylation market size was valued at USD 8.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 12.3 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.1%. Isomerization: Isomerization plays a vital role in refining by converting low-octane linear paraffins into higher-octane branched paraffins, enhancing the quality of gasoline. The global Isomerization market was valued at USD 7.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to witness a CAGR of 3.9% till 2030.

    Get more detailed insights about Oil Refining Market Research Report — Global Forecast till 2034

    Regional Insights

    The regional segmentation of the Oil Refining Market presents distinctive market dynamics across various regions. North America, with its advanced refining infrastructure and high demand for transportation fuels, dominates the market, accounting for a significant share of the global revenue. Europe, driven by stringent environmental regulations and a focus on renewable energy sources, exhibits a steady growth trajectory. APAC, led by rapidly developing economies like India and China, presents immense growth opportunities due to rising energy consumption and industrialization.

    South America and MEA, while having smaller market shares, offer potential for expansion as these regions continue to develop their refining capacities. The Oil Refining Market is expected to grow at a steady pace in the coming years, with increasing demand for refined petroleum products and the adoption of advanced refining technologies.

    Oil Refining Market Regional Insights  

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major players in the Oil Refining Market industry are constantly striving to maintain their competitive edge through strategic initiatives such as capacity expansions, technological advancements, and mergers and acquisitions. Leading Oil Refining Market players are investing heavily in research and development to improve refining processes, reduce emissions, and enhance product quality. The Oil Refining Market landscape is characterized by a high level of competition, with key players vying for market share through innovation and operational efficiency. As the industry evolves, companies are focusing on sustainability and environmental stewardship, driving the adoption of cleaner technologies and renewable energy sources.

    Exxon Mobil Corporation is a prominent player in the Oil Refining Market, with a globally diverse portfolio of refining and petrochemical facilities. The company places a strong emphasis on technological innovation and has invested significantly in advanced refining technologies such as hydrocracking and residue upgrading. Exxon Mobil's commitment to environmental sustainability is reflected in its initiatives to reduce emissions and promote energy efficiency. The company's vast distribution network and strong brand recognition contribute to its leading position in the market.

    Saudi Aramco, the national oil company of Saudi Arabia, is another significant competitor in the Oil Refining Market. With its vast crude oil reserves and integrated refining and petrochemical operations, Saudi Aramco plays a pivotal role in the global energy industry. The company has embarked on major expansion projects to increase its refining capacity and enhance its product portfolio. Saudi Aramco's focus on operational excellence and cost optimization enables it to maintain a competitive edge in the market.

    Key Companies in the Oil Refining Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q1 2025: U.S. refining capacity largely unchanged as of January 2025 - EIA No major refinery expansions or transactions occurred in the U.S. from January 2024 through January 2025. However, LyondellBasell ended refining operations at its 263,776-b/cd Houston refinery in March 2025, and Pasadena Performance Products, a new alkylate facility near Houston, was added to the operable facilities list.
    • Q1 2025: LyondellBasell ended refining operations at its 263,776-b/cd refinery in Houston in March 2025 LyondellBasell ceased operations at its Houston refinery in March 2025, marking a significant reduction in U.S. refining capacity.
    • Q1 2025: Our report also added Pasadena Performance Products, a new facility near Houston, Texas Next Wave Energy Partners opened Pasadena Performance Products, a new facility near Houston, Texas, which exclusively produces alkylate, a valuable blending component for motor gasoline.
    • Q3 2025: China Prepares to Trim Oil Refining Sector The Chinese government is planning to reduce the number of oil refiners and petrochemicals producers by shutting down smaller refineries and upgrading outdated facilities, aiming to address overcapacity and shift production toward specialty chemicals.

    Future Outlook

    Oil Refining Market Future Outlook

    The Global Oil Refining Market is projected to grow at a 3.64% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by technological advancements, increasing energy demand, and regulatory changes.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Invest in advanced refining technologies to enhance efficiency and reduce emissions.
    • Explore partnerships with renewable energy firms to diversify product offerings.
    • Develop digital solutions for predictive maintenance and operational optimization.

    By 2035, the market is expected to achieve robust growth, positioning itself as a pivotal player in the global energy landscape.

    Market Segmentation

    Oil Refining Market Process Outlook

    • Hydrotreating
    • Fluid Catalytic Cracking
    • Vacuum Distillation
    • Alkylation
    • Isomerization

    Oil Refining Market Regional Outlook

    • North America
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Asia-Pacific
    • Middle East and Africa

    Oil Refining Market Feedstock Outlook

    • Crude Oil
    • Natural Gas Liquids
    • Coal Tar
    • Biomass

    Oil Refining Market Product Type Outlook

    • Gasoline
    • Diesel
    • Jet Fuel
    • Heating Oil
    • Lubricants
    • Asphalt
    • Petrochemicals

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024  1,679.18 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2025  1,740.34 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2035 2488.82 (USD Billion)
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 3.64% (2025 - 2035)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2019 - 2023
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled Shell, Valero Energy, ExxonMobil, PetroChina, Chevron, TotalEnergies, Saudi Aramco, Phillips 66, Indian Oil Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Marathon Petroleum, BP, Repsol, Sinopec, ENEOS Holdings
    Segments Covered Feedstock, Product Type, Process, Regional
    Key Market Opportunities Growing demand for cleaner fuels, Advanced refining technologies, Biobased feedstocks, Smart and sustainable refineries, Carbon capture and storage
    Key Market Dynamics Increasing demand for cleaner fuels, Stringent environmental regulations, Growing adoption of advanced refining technologies, Shift towards biofuels and renewable energy sources, and geopolitical factors impacting crude oil supply.
    Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

    FAQs

    What is the projected market size of the Oil Refining Market in 2025?

    The Oil Refining Market is projected to be valued at approximately USD 1,740.34 billion in 2025.

    What is the projected CAGR of the Oil Refining Market from 2024 to 2032?

    The Oil Refining Market is projected to Register a CAGR of 3.64% from 2025 to 2032.

    What are the key regions driving the growth of the Oil Refining Market?

    North American region is expected to be the largest market for oil refining, followed by APAC and Europe.

    What are the major applications of oil refining?

    Oil refining is primarily used to produce gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.

    Who are the key competitors in the Oil Refining Market?

    Some of the key competitors in the Oil Refining Market include ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Chevron, and TotalEnergies.

    What are the major factors influencing the growth of the Oil Refining Market?

    The growth of the Oil Refining Market is primarily driven by rising demand for transportation fuels and increasing industrialization.

    What are the challenges faced by the Oil Refining Market?

    The Oil Refining Market faces challenges such as environmental regulations, fluctuating oil prices, and competition from renewable energy sources.

    What are the key trends shaping the Oil Refining Market?

    Key trends shaping the Oil Refining Market include the adoption of advanced refining technologies and the integration of renewable energy sources.

    What is the expected market size of the Oil Refining Market in 2032?

    The Oil Refining Market is projected to reach a value of approximately USD 2156.5 billion by 2032.

    What are the growth prospects for the Oil Refining Market in the next decade?

    The Oil Refining Market is expected to experience steady growth over the next decade, driven by increasing demand for transportation fuels and the expansion of the petrochemical industry.

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