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    Residential Heat Pump Market

    ID: MRFR/E&P/27233-HCR
    100 Pages
    Chitranshi Jaiswal
    October 2025

    Residential Heat Pump Market Research Report By Type (Air Source Heat Pumps, Water Source Heat Pumps, Geothermal Heat Pumps), By Installation Type (Split Systems, Packaged Systems), By Capacity (Small Capacity (5 kW), Medium Capacity (5-15 kW), Large Capacity (>15 kW)), By Application (Space Heating, Space Cooling, Water Heating), By End-User (Residential, Commercial, Industrial) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa) - Forecast to 2035

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    Residential Heat Pump Market Infographic
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    Residential Heat Pump Market Summary

    The Global Residential Heat Pump Market is projected to grow significantly from 36.28 USD Billion in 2024 to 96.32 USD Billion by 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    Residential Heat Pump Key Trends and Highlights

    • The market is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.28 percent from 2025 to 2035.
    • By 2035, the market valuation is anticipated to reach 96.3 USD Billion, indicating robust growth potential.
    • in 2024, the market is valued at 36.28 USD Billion, reflecting a strong foundation for future expansion.
    • Growing adoption of energy-efficient technologies due to increasing environmental concerns is a major market driver.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 36.28 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 96.32 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025-2035) 9.28%

    Major Players

    Samsung Electronics, Lennox International, Carrier, Rheem Manufacturing, Johnson Controls, Panasonic, Fujitsu General, Daikin Industries, Midea Group, Hitachi Appliances, Toshiba Carrier Corporation, Gree Electric Appliances, Haier, LG Electronics, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

    Residential Heat Pump Market Trends

    The Residential Heat Pump Market has seen growth due to environmental concerns, as well as government incentives aimed at improving energy efficiency. There is a high presence of factors such as the increased use of green heating systems and increasing energy prices that propel this market. The other factor that is boosting the market for heat pumps is the growing trend of automation and smart homes, which require advanced heat pumps that can be monitored and controlled remotely. 

    In addition, there have been improvements in heat pump technology that have made these devices more efficient and less expensive to use, thereby appealing to a wider audience. The trend of this market will largely remain positive in the next few years, especially with stimulation towards creativity and geographical outreach, especially in developing countries.

    The transition towards energy-efficient heating solutions, such as residential heat pumps, appears to be gaining momentum as households increasingly seek sustainable alternatives to traditional heating methods.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Residential Heat Pump Market Drivers

    Growing Demand for Energy Efficiency

    The Global Residential Heat Pump Market Industry is experiencing a surge in demand for energy-efficient heating solutions. As homeowners increasingly seek to reduce energy consumption and lower utility bills, heat pumps have emerged as a viable alternative to traditional heating systems. In 2024, the market is projected to reach 36.3 USD Billion, driven by the need for sustainable energy solutions. Governments worldwide are implementing regulations and incentives to promote energy efficiency, further propelling the adoption of heat pumps. This trend suggests that the industry will continue to expand as consumers prioritize eco-friendly technologies.

    Market Segment Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market Type Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market Type Insights  

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is segmented by Type into Air Source Heat Pumps, Water Source Heat Pumps, and Geothermal Heat Pumps. Among these, Air Source Heat Pumps held the largest market share in 2023 and are expected to continue dominating the market throughout the forecast period. The growth of this segment can be attributed to the increasing adoption of air-source heat pumps in residential buildings due to their cost-effectiveness, ease of installation, and energy efficiency. 

    Water Source Heat Pumps are expected to witness significant growth over the forecast period owing to their higher efficiency and ability to provide both heating and cooling. Geothermal Heat Pumps are expected to gain traction in the coming years due to their ability to harness the earth's natural heat for space heating and cooling, resulting in significant energy savings. The Residential Heat Pump Market revenue for Air Source Heat Pumps is projected to reach USD 22.34 billion by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 9.5%. 

    The market for Water Source Heat Pumps is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 10.2% over the forecast period, reaching USD 6.85 billion by 2024. Geothermal Heat Pumps are expected to witness a CAGR of 11.4%, reaching a market valuation of USD 3.21 billion by 2024. The growth of the Residential Heat Pump Market is primarily driven by increasing energy efficiency regulations, rising demand for sustainable heating and cooling solutions, and government initiatives promoting the adoption of renewable energy technologies.

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Residential Heat Pump Market Installation Type Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market Installation Type Insights

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is segmented by Installation Type into Split Systems and Packaged Systems. Split Systems are expected to hold a larger market share in 2023, owing to their ease of installation and maintenance. Packaged Systems, on the other hand, are expected to witness faster growth during the forecast period due to their higher energy efficiency and ability to provide both heating and cooling. In 2023, the Residential Heat Pump Market for Split Systems is expected to be valued at around 15.5 billion USD, while the Packaged Systems segment is projected to reach 9.2 billion USD.

    Additionally, technological advancements, such as the development of variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems and inverter-driven compressors, are expected to further contribute to the market growth.

    Residential Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is segmented by capacity into small capacity (5 kW), medium capacity (5-15 kW), and large capacity (>15 kW). Among these, the medium capacity segment is expected to hold the largest market share in the coming years. This is due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in residential applications. The small capacity segment is also expected to witness significant growth, owing to the rising popularity of mini-split heat pumps in small homes and apartments. 

    The large capacity segment is expected to grow at a slower pace, as it is primarily used in large commercial and industrial buildings. In terms of revenue, the Residential Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 34.58 billion by 2026, growing at a CAGR of 9.8% during the forecast period. The market growth is driven by factors such as increasing government regulations regarding energy efficiency, rising awareness about the benefits of heat pumps, and growing demand for sustainable heating and cooling solutions.

    The market is also expected to benefit from technological advancements, such as the development of more efficient and cost-effective heat pumps.

    Residential Heat Pump Market Application Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market Application Insights

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is segmented by Application into Space Heating, Space Cooling, and Water Heating. Space heating accounted for the largest share of the market in 2023 and is projected to continue to do so through 2032. The growth of this segment is attributed to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating solutions in residential buildings.

    Space cooling is the second largest segment and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.5% over the forecast period. This growth is driven by the rising demand for cooling solutions in regions with hot climates. Water heating is the smallest segment but is expected to grow at the fastest CAGR of 10.2% over the forecast period. This growth is driven by the increasing adoption of heat pumps for water heating applications in residential buildings.

    Residential Heat Pump Market End-User Insights

    Residential Heat Pump Market End-User Insights  

    The end-user segment of the Residential Heat Pump Market can be categorized into residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Among these, the residential sector is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. In 2023, the revenue generated from the residential segment was estimated to be around USD 14.2 billion, and it is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 9.6% to reach USD 26.3 billion by 2032. 

    This growth can be attributed to rising awareness about energy efficiency and the increasing adoption of sustainable heating solutions in residential buildings. On the other hand, the commercial and industrial sectors are also expected to witness steady growth due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating systems in various commercial and industrial applications.

    Get more detailed insights about Residential Heat Pump Market Research Report — Global Forecast till 2034

    Regional Insights

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is segmented into North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA. North America is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, with a valuation of 10.23 USD Billion. The market in Europe is expected to follow with a valuation of 9.87 USD Billion. APAC is expected to be the fastest-growing region, with a CAGR of 10.5% from 2024 to 2032. South America and MEA are also expected to experience significant growth, with CAGRs of 9.9% and 8.7%, respectively.

    The growth in the residential heat pump market is attributed to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, government initiatives to promote renewable energy, and the rising adoption of smart home technologies.

    Residential Heat Pump Market Regional Insights

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major players in the Residential Heat Pump Market are investing heavily in research and development to launch innovative and energy-efficient products. Leading Residential Heat Pump Market players are focusing on expanding their product portfolio and geographical reach through strategic acquisitions and partnerships. The residential Heat Pump Market industry is characterized by intense competition, with key players vying for market share and dominance.

    A leading player in the Residential Heat Pump Market, Carrier has a strong global presence and offers a wide range of residential heat pumps. The company focuses on product innovation and customer satisfaction, with a commitment to providing energy-efficient and reliable solutions. Carrier's extensive distribution network and partnerships with leading retailers and contractors contribute to its success in the market.

    Daikin is another prominent player in the Residential Heat Pump Market. The company is known for its advanced technology and environmentally friendly products. Daikin's focus on sustainability and energy efficiency has earned it recognition and a loyal customer base. The company's commitment to research and development has resulted in the launch of innovative heat pump systems that meet the evolving needs of residential customers.

    Key Companies in the Residential Heat Pump Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q1 2025: Daikin shares an optimistic outlook for the heat pump market and presents new innovations at ISH25 At ISH25 in March 2025, Daikin Europe unveiled its latest residential heat pump innovations, including the Daikin Altherma 4 generation, and outlined its refrigerant strategy to support the European decarbonisation agenda.

    Future Outlook

    Residential Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

    The Global Residential Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a 9.28% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by energy efficiency regulations, technological advancements, and increasing consumer awareness.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Develop smart heat pump systems integrating IoT for enhanced energy management.
    • Expand into emerging markets with tailored financing solutions for residential installations.
    • Invest in R&D for eco-friendly refrigerants to meet evolving regulatory standards.

    By 2035, the market is expected to be robust, reflecting substantial growth and innovation.

    Market Segmentation

    Residential Heat Pump Market Type Outlook

    • Air Source Heat Pumps
    • Water Source Heat Pumps
    • Geothermal Heat Pumps

    Residential Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Small Capacity (5 kW)
    • Medium Capacity (5-15 kW)
    • Large Capacity (>15 kW)

    Residential Heat Pump Market End-User Outlook

    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial

    Residential Heat Pump Market Regional Outlook

    • North America
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Asia Pacific
    • Middle East and Africa

    Residential Heat Pump Market Application Outlook

    • Space Heating
    • Space Cooling
    • Water Heating 

    Residential Heat Pump Market Installation Type Outlook

    • Split Systems
    • Packaged Systems

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024   36.28 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2025   39.65 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2035 96.32 (USD Billion)
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 9.28% (2025 - 2035)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2019 - 2023
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled Samsung Electronics, Lennox International, Carrier, Rheem Manufacturing, Johnson Controls, Panasonic, Fujitsu General, Daikin Industries, Midea Group, Hitachi Appliances, Toshiba Carrier Corporation, Gree Electric Appliances, Haier, LG Electronics, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
    Segments Covered Type, Installation Type, Capacity, Application, End-User, Regional
    Key Market Opportunities Growing urbanization government incentives HVAC system integration smart home integration rising energy prices
    Key Market Dynamics Government incentives, rising energy prices, technological advancements increasing urbanization, growing demand for energy efficiency
    Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

    FAQs

    What is the projected market size of the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 88.14 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 9.28% from 2025 to 2034.

    Which region is expected to hold the largest market share in the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    North America is expected to dominate the Residential Heat Pump Market throughout the forecast period.

    What are the key factors driving the growth of the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    The rising demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, government incentives, and increasing environmental concerns are the key factors driving the growth of the market.

    Who are the major players in the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    Major players in the Residential Heat Pump Market include Daikin Industries, Mitsubishi Electric, Gree Electric Appliances, Johnson Controls, and Carrier.

    What are the different types of residential heat pumps available in the market?

    Residential heat pumps are available in various types, including air-source heat pumps, geothermal heat pumps, and water-source heat pumps.

    What are the applications of residential heat pumps?

    Residential heat pumps are primarily used for heating and cooling homes, but they can also be used for water heating and pool heating.

    What are the key trends influencing the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    Key trends include the increasing adoption of smart home technologies, the rising popularity of inverter-based heat pumps, and the growing focus on sustainable and energy-efficient solutions.

    What is the expected growth rate of the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    The Residential Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.28% from 2024 to 2032.

    What are the challenges faced by the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    Challenges include the high upfront cost of installation, the availability of skilled labor for installation and maintenance, and competition from traditional heating and cooling systems.

    What is the future outlook for the Residential Heat Pump Market?

    The future outlook for the Residential Heat Pump Market is positive, driven by increasing government regulations, rising energy costs, and growing environmental concerns.

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