×
Request Free Sample ×

Kindly complete the form below to receive a free sample of this Report

Leading companies partner with us for data-driven Insights

clients tt-cursor
Hero Background

US Thermal Systems Market

ID: MRFR/SEM/15786-HCR
200 Pages
Garvit Vyas
October 2025

US Thermal Systems Market Research Report By Component (Compressor, HVAC, Powertrain Cooling, Fluid Transport), By Vehicle Type (Passenger Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles) and By Propulsion Type (IC Engine Vehicles, Electric Vehicles, Hybrid Vehicles) - Forecast to 2035

Share:
Download PDF ×

We do not share your information with anyone. However, we may send you emails based on your report interest from time to time. You may contact us at any time to opt-out.

US Thermal Systems Market Infographic
Purchase Options

US Thermal Systems Market Summary

As per MRFR analysis, the US thermal systems market Size was estimated at 8.62 USD Billion in 2024. The US thermal systems market is projected to grow from 8.83 USD Billion in 2025 to 11.31 USD Billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The US thermal systems market is experiencing a transformative shift towards energy efficiency and smart technology integration.

  • The market is witnessing an increased focus on energy efficiency, driven by consumer demand for sustainable solutions.
  • Integration with smart technologies is becoming prevalent, enhancing the functionality and user experience of thermal systems.
  • The adoption of renewable energy sources is gaining momentum, particularly in the residential and commercial segments.
  • Rising demand for sustainable solutions and regulatory support for energy efficiency are key drivers propelling market growth.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 8.62 (USD Billion)
2035 Market Size 11.31 (USD Billion)

Major Players

Johnson Controls (US), Honeywell International (US), Trane Technologies (IE), Carrier Global (US), Daikin Industries (JP), Bosch Thermotechnology (DE), Mitsubishi Electric (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Siemens (DE)

US Thermal Systems Market Trends

The thermal systems market is currently experiencing a dynamic evolution, driven by advancements in technology and increasing energy efficiency demands. As industries and consumers alike seek sustainable solutions, the market is adapting to incorporate innovative designs and materials that enhance performance while reducing environmental impact. This shift is evident in the growing adoption of smart technologies, which facilitate real-time monitoring and control of thermal systems, thereby optimizing energy consumption. Furthermore, regulatory frameworks are increasingly promoting the use of energy-efficient systems, compelling manufacturers to innovate and comply with stringent standards. In addition, the thermal systems market is witnessing a notable trend towards integration with renewable energy sources. This integration not only supports sustainability goals but also aligns with the broader transition towards decarbonization. As the demand for heating and cooling solutions continues to rise, the market is likely to see a surge in hybrid systems that combine traditional thermal technologies with solar, wind, or geothermal energy. Overall, the landscape of the thermal systems market is shifting towards more efficient, sustainable, and technologically advanced solutions, reflecting the changing priorities of consumers and regulatory bodies alike.

Increased Focus on Energy Efficiency

The thermal systems market is seeing a heightened emphasis on energy efficiency. Manufacturers are developing systems that consume less energy while maintaining optimal performance. This trend is largely driven by regulatory requirements and consumer demand for sustainable solutions.

Integration with Smart Technologies

There is a growing trend towards the integration of smart technologies within thermal systems. These advancements allow for enhanced monitoring and control, enabling users to optimize energy usage and improve overall system efficiency.

Adoption of Renewable Energy Sources

The thermal systems market is increasingly incorporating renewable energy sources. This shift supports sustainability initiatives and aligns with the global movement towards reducing carbon emissions, leading to the development of hybrid systems that utilize both traditional and renewable energy.

US Thermal Systems Market Drivers

Rising Demand for Sustainable Solutions

The thermal systems market is experiencing a notable shift towards sustainable solutions, driven by increasing environmental awareness among consumers and businesses. This trend is reflected in the growing adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling systems, which are designed to minimize energy consumption and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. According to recent data, the market for energy-efficient thermal systems is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 8% over the next five years. This rising demand for sustainable solutions is compelling manufacturers to innovate and develop products that align with eco-friendly practices, thereby enhancing their competitive edge in the thermal systems market.

Regulatory Support for Energy Efficiency

Government regulations aimed at promoting energy efficiency are significantly influencing the thermal systems market. Initiatives such as tax incentives and rebates for energy-efficient installations encourage both residential and commercial sectors to invest in advanced thermal systems. The U.S. Department of Energy has set ambitious targets for reducing energy consumption in buildings, which is likely to drive the adoption of high-efficiency thermal systems. As a result, the market is expected to witness a surge in demand for products that comply with these regulations, potentially leading to a market growth rate of around 7% annually. This regulatory support is crucial for shaping the future landscape of the thermal systems market.

Consumer Preference for Comfort and Convenience

Consumer preferences are increasingly leaning towards comfort and convenience, which is driving the thermal systems market. Homeowners and businesses are seeking advanced thermal solutions that provide consistent temperature control and enhance indoor air quality. The demand for smart home technologies, including automated heating and cooling systems, is on the rise, as these solutions offer greater control and energy savings. Market Research Future indicates that nearly 40% of consumers are willing to invest in smart thermal systems for improved comfort. This shift in consumer behavior is likely to propel the growth of the thermal systems market, as manufacturers respond to these evolving preferences with innovative products.

Technological Advancements in Thermal Management

Technological advancements are playing a pivotal role in transforming the thermal systems market. Innovations such as advanced heat exchangers, smart thermostats, and predictive maintenance technologies are enhancing the efficiency and reliability of thermal systems. These technologies not only improve performance but also reduce operational costs for end-users. The integration of IoT in thermal management systems is particularly noteworthy, as it allows for real-time monitoring and optimization of energy use. As these technologies continue to evolve, they are expected to drive a substantial increase in market penetration, with estimates suggesting a potential growth of 10% in the adoption of smart thermal systems over the next few years.

Increased Investment in Infrastructure Development

The thermal systems market is benefiting from increased investment in infrastructure development across various sectors, including residential, commercial, and industrial. As urbanization continues to rise, there is a growing need for efficient heating and cooling solutions in new buildings and retrofitting existing structures. The U.S. government has allocated significant funding for infrastructure projects, which is likely to spur demand for advanced thermal systems. This investment is expected to create opportunities for manufacturers and service providers, potentially leading to a market growth of approximately 6% in the coming years. The emphasis on modernizing infrastructure is a key driver for the thermal systems market.

Market Segment Insights

By Component: Compressors (Largest) vs. HVAC (Fastest-Growing)

In the US thermal systems market, the component segment includes key players like compressors, HVAC systems, powertrain cooling, and fluid transport. Among these, compressors hold the largest market share due to their critical role in various thermal applications. The HVAC segment is witnessing significant growth, emerging as a key player driven by increasing demand for efficient heating and cooling solutions. Growth trends within the component segment are heavily influenced by technological advancements and the rising focus on energy efficiency. As regulations tighten and environmental concerns grow, the demand for HVAC systems is surging, position it as the fastest-growing component. Meanwhile, compressors continue to evolve, enhancing their efficiency and adaptability to modern applications, thus maintaining their dominant market position.

Compressors (Dominant) vs. HVAC (Emerging)

Compressors are pivotal in the thermal systems landscape, renowned for their efficiency and performance in cooling and heating applications. They dominate the market due to widespread industry reliance on their capabilities. Their design enhancements and energy-efficient technologies are key contributors to their market strength. Conversely, HVAC systems, while currently emerging, are rapidly gaining traction, fueled by urbanization and the growing emphasis on sustainable living. Innovations in HVAC technology, including smart systems and improved refrigerants, are making them more appealing to consumers and businesses alike. These two component values illustrate the dynamic interplay between established reliability and innovative growth in the US thermal systems market.

By Vehicle Type: Passenger Vehicles (Largest) vs. Commercial Vehicles (Fastest-Growing)

In the US thermal systems market, the distribution of market share is significantly skewed towards passenger vehicles, which dominate the segment with a considerable share. This dominance is attributed to the high demand for personal transportation and the continuous evolution of technology to make these vehicles more thermal efficient. Meanwhile, commercial vehicles are gaining traction, benefiting from increased logistics and transportation needs as the economy grows. The growth trends in this segment highlight a shift in consumer preferences and operational demands. Passenger vehicles remain stable; however, commercial vehicles are recognized as the fastest-growing segment due to the booming e-commerce and delivery services. Drivers such as advancements in thermal management technologies and stricter emissions regulations are further propelling the commercial vehicles segment forward, allowing it to carve a significant niche in the market.

Passenger Vehicles: Dominant vs. Commercial Vehicles: Emerging

Passenger vehicles represent the dominant segment in the US thermal systems market, characterized by robust sales volumes and continual technological advancements aimed at enhancing fuel efficiency and reducing emissions. Consumers' growing preference for environmentally friendly vehicles has spurred innovations in thermal management systems, making these vehicles not only popular but also compliant with stringent regulations. On the other hand, commercial vehicles are emerging prominently in the market due to a surge in demand for logistics, freight transportation, and overall efficient fleet operations. The convergence of automation and smart technology in commercial vehicles is leading to enhanced thermal system designs that improve efficiency, thereby attracting more investment and development. Both segments showcase strategic importance, with passenger vehicles leading currently, while commercial vehicles are rapidly evolving to meet market demands.

By Propulsion: IC Engine Vehicles (Largest) vs. Electric Vehicles (Fastest-Growing)

The propulsion segment of the US thermal systems market showcases a diverse landscape, with IC engine vehicles leading the market share, driven by established consumer preferences and extensive infrastructure. In contrast, electric vehicles are rapidly gaining traction, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers and benefitting from supportive regulatory frameworks that incentivize electric mobility. Meanwhile, hybrid vehicles occupy a niche segment, capturing a moderate market share as they appeal to those seeking a blend of traditional and electric propulsion. Growth trends in this segment are significantly influenced by technological advancements and shifting consumer sentiments. Electric vehicles are poised for exponential growth as manufacturers innovate and expand charging infrastructure, while incentives for sustainable transport further enhance market attractiveness. Despite the dominance of IC engine vehicles, the shift towards electrification signifies a transformative era for the market, where hybrid vehicles may serve as transitional solutions for consumers moving towards fully electric options.

IC Engine Vehicles (Dominant) vs. Electric Vehicles (Emerging)

IC engine vehicles remain the dominant force in the propulsion segment, characterized by their robust performance, widespread availability, and established fueling infrastructure. They cater primarily to consumers valuing convenience and reliability. On the other hand, electric vehicles represent an emerging trend in the market, marked by innovative features and an increasing range of model options. Their appeal lies in eco-friendliness, lower operating costs, and advancements in battery technology that enhance driving range. This contrast highlights a pivotal shift in consumer preferences, where traditional propulsion continues to hold significant market share, while electric vehicles are rapidly evolving to meet modern sustainability demands.

Get more detailed insights about US Thermal Systems Market

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The thermal systems market is currently characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions and advancements in technology. Major players such as Johnson Controls (US), Honeywell International (US), and Carrier Global (US) are actively positioning themselves through innovation and strategic partnerships. Johnson Controls (US) emphasizes sustainability and smart building technologies, while Honeywell International (US) focuses on integrating AI and IoT into their systems. Carrier Global (US) is enhancing its product offerings through digital transformation initiatives, collectively shaping a competitive environment that prioritizes efficiency and technological advancement.

Key business tactics within the market include localizing manufacturing and optimizing supply chains to enhance responsiveness to customer needs. The competitive structure appears moderately fragmented, with several key players exerting influence over market dynamics. This fragmentation allows for niche players to thrive, while larger companies leverage their scale to drive innovation and efficiency.

In October 2025, Johnson Controls (US) announced a partnership with a leading tech firm to develop advanced HVAC systems that utilize AI for predictive maintenance. This strategic move is likely to enhance operational efficiency and reduce downtime, positioning Johnson Controls (US) as a leader in smart thermal solutions. The integration of AI into their systems may also attract environmentally conscious consumers seeking sustainable options.

In September 2025, Honeywell International (US) launched a new line of energy-efficient heating systems designed to meet the evolving regulatory standards for emissions. This initiative not only aligns with global sustainability goals but also strengthens Honeywell's (US) market position by addressing the increasing regulatory pressures faced by the industry. The focus on compliance and efficiency could potentially lead to increased market share in the residential sector.

In August 2025, Carrier Global (US) unveiled a new digital platform aimed at enhancing customer engagement and streamlining service delivery. This platform is expected to improve customer satisfaction and retention by providing real-time data and insights into system performance. Such digital initiatives may serve as a competitive differentiator in a market where customer experience is becoming increasingly paramount.

As of November 2025, current trends in the thermal systems market include a pronounced shift towards digitalization, sustainability, and the integration of AI technologies. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the landscape, enabling companies to pool resources and expertise to drive innovation. Looking ahead, competitive differentiation is likely to evolve from traditional price-based competition to a focus on technological innovation, reliability in supply chains, and the ability to deliver sustainable solutions. This shift underscores the importance of adaptability and forward-thinking strategies in maintaining a competitive edge.

Key Companies in the US Thermal Systems Market market include

Industry Developments

Recent developments in the US Thermal Systems Market reflect a dynamic landscape driven by significant technological advancements and sustainability efforts. A notable trend is the increased emphasis on energy-efficient systems, where companies such as Trane Technologies and Carrier are spearheading innovations in HVAC technology aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, there have been critical mergers and acquisitions, such as Emerson Electric's acquisition of the software company, which fortifies its capabilities in smart building and automation solutions, announced in June 2023.

Moreover, Bosch Thermotechnology has expanded its product line to include environmentally sustainable heating solutions, aligning with recent regulatory changes that promote eco-friendly initiatives. This aligns with Johnson Controls’ commitment to sustainable smart buildings through their innovative building automation systems. Over the past two years, companies such as Lennox International have experienced a growth surge, bolstered by increased demand for residential and commercial heating and cooling systems. Growth in the sector reflects the US government's investment in energy efficiency and emissions reduction, generating further interest in thermal system enhancements.

Overall, these developments underscore a significant shift towards smarter, more sustainable thermal systems in the US market.

Future Outlook

US Thermal Systems Market Future Outlook

The thermal systems market is projected to grow at 2.5% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by advancements in energy efficiency and regulatory support.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Development of smart thermal management systems for industrial applications.
  • Expansion of renewable energy integration in thermal systems.
  • Investment in advanced materials for improved thermal performance.

By 2035, the thermal systems market is expected to achieve robust growth and enhanced technological integration.

Market Segmentation

US Thermal Systems Market Component Outlook

  • Compressors
  • HVAC
  • Powertrain Cooling
  • Fluid Transport

US Thermal Systems Market Propulsion Outlook

  • IC Engine Vehicles
  • Electric Vehicles
  • Hybrid Vehicles

US Thermal Systems Market Vehicle Type Outlook

  • Passenger Vehicles
  • Commercial Vehicles

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 2024 8.62(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 2025 8.83(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 2035 11.31(USD Billion)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) 2.5% (2024 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGE Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR 2024
Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
Historical Data 2019 - 2024
Market Forecast Units USD Billion
Key Companies Profiled Johnson Controls (US), Honeywell International (US), Trane Technologies (IE), Carrier Global (US), Daikin Industries (JP), Bosch Thermotechnology (DE), Mitsubishi Electric (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Siemens (DE)
Segments Covered Component, Vehicle Type, Propulsion
Key Market Opportunities Integration of advanced materials for enhanced energy efficiency in thermal systems market.
Key Market Dynamics Technological advancements drive efficiency improvements in thermal systems, influencing competitive dynamics and regulatory compliance.
Countries Covered US

Leave a Comment

FAQs

What is the expected market size of the US Thermal Systems Market in 2024?

The US Thermal Systems Market is expected to be valued at approximately 9.85 billion USD in 2024.

What will be the market size of the US Thermal Systems Market by 2035?

By 2035, the overall market is projected to reach a value of around 12.92 billion USD.

What is the expected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the US Thermal Systems Market from 2025 to 2035?

The US Thermal Systems Market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 2.497% during the period from 2025 to 2035.

Which component in the US Thermal Systems Market is valued the highest in 2024?

In 2024, the HVAC component is valued at approximately 3.0 billion USD, making it the highest in the market.

What will the value of the HVAC component be in 2035?

The HVAC component is projected to reach a value of around 4.0 billion USD by 2035.

Who are the key players dominating the US Thermal Systems Market?

Major players in the US Thermal Systems Market include Emerson Electric, Lennox International, and Bosch Thermotechnology.

How much is the Compressor segment valued in 2024?

The Compressor segment of the US Thermal Systems Market is valued at approximately 2.5 billion USD in 2024.

What is the market value for the Fluid Transport component in 2035?

The Fluid Transport component is expected to be valued at around 3.02 billion USD by 2035.

What are the growth drivers for the US Thermal Systems Market?

Drivers of growth in the US Thermal Systems Market include the increasing demand for efficient thermal management systems and advancements in technology.

What challenges does the US Thermal Systems Market face currently?

The market currently faces challenges such as fluctuating raw material costs and stringent regulatory requirements.

Download Free Sample

Kindly complete the form below to receive a free sample of this Report

Compare Licence

×
Features License Type
Single User Multiuser License Enterprise User
Price $4,950 $5,950 $7,250
Maximum User Access Limit 1 User Upto 10 Users Unrestricted Access Throughout the Organization
Free Customization
Direct Access to Analyst
Deliverable Format
Platform Access
Discount on Next Purchase 10% 15% 15%
Printable Versions